Gallagher Center · at Niagara · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -9.5✓ NIA covered by 6.5
SIE -9.5✓ NIA covered by 6.5Closing total128.5Over by 32.5
| SIE | This season | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| 14-7 | Record | 4-15 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 70–61 NIA · ✓ SIE (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 42 | 40 | 82 |
| NIA | 40 | 39 | 79 |
1st half: SIE 42, NIA 40 (SIE by 2). The model had SIE by 5.7 and a total of 61.3 (actual 82).
Team stats
| SIE | NIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-46 61% | Field goals | 29-54 54% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 14-26 54% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 7-13 54% |
| 25 4 off | Rebounds | 23 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 10-15 | 1-3 |
| Gavin Doty G | 36 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Francis Folefac F | 27 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Jones G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Danny Murray, Tajae Jones, Owen Schlager, Cooper Nadler, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hawkins F | 38 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Vice Zanki F | 34 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Landon Williams G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 28 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 22 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7-8 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trenton Walters G | 27 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Will Shortt F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Brian Griffith G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kabeya Tshibangu, Gael Dalmau, Drew Larson, AJ McBride, Justin Page
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -9.5
no move
CloseSIE -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open129.5
▼ 1
Close128.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SIE -575 · NIA +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -9.5 · unchangedmodel SIE -9.5 matches the line
model SIE -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 129.5 · closed 128.5 · moved 1 downmodel 131
model 131
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SIE -9.5 | SIE -9.4 | NIA +0.1 | W NIA covered |
| Total | 128.5 | 130.8 | Over 2.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SIE 70.1 · NIA 60.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIE -5.7 | SIE -2.0 |
| 1H total | 61.3 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | SIE 33.5 · NIA 27.8 | SIE 42 · NIA 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| NIA | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
SIE 5–6 NIANIA leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · SIE has won the last 2 meetings · SIE 8-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025-26 | NIA 54 @ SIE 83 | SIE -12.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | NIA 60 @ SIE 94 | SIE -5.5 | SIE W |
| Dec 6, 2024-25 | SIE 68 @ NIA 69 | NIA -2.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | SIE 65 vs NIA 67 | NIA -10.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | NIA 66 @ SIE 59 | SIE +7.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @ MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vs FAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vs MRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
over 7under 14avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Niagara
19 games played
Straight up
4-15
21% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ MORG | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ VCU | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vsSHU | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vsFAIR | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @IONA | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | @MAN | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @CAN | W 59-54 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vsMSM | L 58-68 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | @FAIR | L 61-62 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | @SHU | L 70-71 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
−6.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
+4.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
+4.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
−4.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−7.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
−3.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
+7.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−6.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
+9.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
13
@MORG
MORGL 73-81
+13.5
15
@VCU
VCUL 58-84
−1.5
2
vsSHU
SHUW 64-61
−14.5
4
vsFAIR
FAIRL 75-83
+19.5
9
@IONA
IONAL 53-71
−16.5
11
@MAN
MANL 70-79
+8.5
14
@CAN
CANW 59-54
−13.5
19
vsMSM
MSML 58-68
−5.5
22
@FAIR
FAIRL 61-62
−16.5
24
@SHU
SHUL 70-71
+1.5
over 8under 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
14-7 overall · 7-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marist69–50
- Wvs Fairfield85–77
- W@ Manhattan74–59
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–86
- W@ Mount St Marys67–50
A week or more of rest.
Niagara
4-15 overall · 2-8 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacred Heart70–71
- L@ Fairfield61–62
- Lvs Mount St Marys58–68
- W@ Canisius59–54
- L@ Manhattan70–79
6 days since their last game.