The Palestra · at Penn · Conference game
Closing line
PENN -6.5✓ PENN covered by 2.5
PENN -6.5✓ PENN covered by 2.5Closing total154.5Under by 3.5
 DART | This season | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| 9-13 | Record | 12-11 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 15-8 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 6-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DART 73–78 PENN · ✓ PENN (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 42 | 29 | 71 |
| PENN | 34 | 46 | 80 |
1st half: DART 42, PENN 34 (DART by 8). The model had PENN by 3.2 and a total of 70.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| DART | PENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 14-25 56% | Free throws | 22-37 59% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 44 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 27 | Fouls | 24 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Thomas G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 28 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Jackson Munro F | 25 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Connor Amundsen G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Williams F | 23 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron McNamee G | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Nikola Abusara G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Hiatt G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Brown G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Patrick Tivnan Jr., Shanon Simango, Tyler Garrett, Khai Lockwood
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 40 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 14-22 | 6-8 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| AJ Levine G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jay Jones G | 25 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 14 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Thrower G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Williams, Bradyn Foster, Alex Massung, Chris Ubochi, Ryan Altman, Johnnie Walter, Payton Kamin, William Kruse
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPENN -6.5
ModelPENN -5.5
Model edgeDART +1.0
L PENN covered
Total
Market154.5
Model151.0
Model edgeUnder 3.5
W Under
Projected score
DART 72.7 · PENN 78.3
DART 71 · PENN 80
Win probability
PENN 69%
1st half
Spread
PENN -3.2
DART -8.0
Total
70.6
76 points
Projected score
DART 33.7 · PENN 36.9
DART 42 · PENN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPENN -7.5
1 → DART
ClosePENN -6.5
1 pt toward DART
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DART +220 · PENN -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PENN -7.5 · closed PENN -6.5 · moved 1 toward DARTmodel PENN -5.5
model PENN -5.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| PENN | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DART 3–6 PENNPENN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PENN has won the last 2 meetings · DART 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | PENN 84 @ DART 74 | DART -2.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | DART 75 @ PENN 88 | PENN -1.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | PENN 70 @ DART 73 | DART -4.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | PENN 82 @ DART 69 | DART +5.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | DART 51 @ PENN 80 | PENN -6.5 | PENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dartmouth
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @ HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | vsPENN | L 74-84 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | vs PRIN | W 71-69 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs COLU | L 69-79 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | @ YALE | L 68-83 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | @ BRWN | W 77-70 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsHARV | L 58-71 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 13 | vsYALE | L 70-83 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsBRWN | L 76-79 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @COLU | W 64-63 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−12.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
+3.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−7.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
+0.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+8.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
13
vsYALE
YALEL 70-83
−3.5
14
vsBRWN
BRWNL 76-79
−5.5
21
@COLU
COLUW 64-63
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−5.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
−7.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−8.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
−4.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+4.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
13
vsYALE
YALEL 70-83
+1.5
14
vsBRWN
BRWNL 76-79
+15.5
21
@COLU
COLUW 64-63
−23.5
over 10under 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-17
26% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vsBRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | @HARV | L 63-64 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsYALE | L 60-77 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | @COLU | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @COR | W 91-81 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRIN | W 61-60 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 13 | vsCOLU | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOR | W 82-76 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 169.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 21 | @YALE | L 70-74 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
+4.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−10.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−0.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
+17.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−2.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
+7.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
+8.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
+5.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
−23.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−20.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−14.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
−1.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−23.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
−5.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
−11.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
−6.5
over 6under 17avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dartmouth
9-13 overall · 5-6 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Columbia64–63
- Lvs Brown76–79
- Lvs Yale70–83
- Lvs Harvard58–71
- W@ Brown77–70
6 days since their last game.
Penn
12-11 overall · 6-5 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Yale70–74
- Wvs Cornell82–76
- Wvs Columbia76–67
- Wvs Princeton61–60
- W@ Cornell91–81
6 days since their last game.