The Palestra · at Penn · Conference game
Closing line
PENN -1.5✓ PENN covered by 7.5
PENN -1.5✓ PENN covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Under by 5.5
 COLU | This season | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 10-10 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 6-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLU 76–77 PENN · ✓ PENN (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 37 | 30 | 67 |
| PENN | 34 | 42 | 76 |
1st half: COLU 37, PENN 34 (COLU by 3). The model had PENN by 0.6 and a total of 71.2 (actual 71).
Team stats
| COLU | PENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| COLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Noland G | 38 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 8-14 | 6-9 |
| Miles Franklin G | 33 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Blair Thompson F | 31 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-5 |
| Mason Ritter F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Connor Igoe F | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gerard O'Keefe G | 27 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Soulis F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Hampton Sanders G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leland Coleman F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Edwin Bai, Nigel Clarkson, Richard Nweke, Nicolo Romanelli, Dan Vessey, Zine Eddine Bedri, Avery Brown, Josiah Cunningham
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-16 | 2-8 |
| AJ Levine G | 30 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 29 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 6-15 | 3-7 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jay Jones G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Thrower G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Altman, Payton Kamin, William Kruse, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Niklas Polonowski, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPENN -1.5
ModelPENN -1.2
Model edgeCOLU +0.3
L PENN covered
Total
Market148.5
Model152.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
COLU 75.5 · PENN 76.7
COLU 67 · PENN 76
Win probability
PENN 54%
1st half
Spread
PENN -0.6
COLU -3.0
Total
71.2
71 points
Projected score
COLU 35.3 · PENN 35.9
COLU 37 · PENN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPENN -2.5
1 → COLU
ClosePENN -1.5
1 pt toward COLU
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
COLU +110 · PENN -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PENN -2.5 · closed PENN -1.5 · moved 1 toward COLUmodel PENN -1
model PENN -1
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| PENN | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
COLU 3–6 PENNPENN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · COLU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | PENN 67 @ COLU 72 | COLU -4.5 | COLU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | PENN 92 @ COLU 87 | COLU -2.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | COLU 78 @ PENN 93 | PENN +2.5 | PENN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | COLU 72 @ PENN 84 | PENN -4.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | PENN 81 @ COLU 84 | COLU +1.5 | COLU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Columbia
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NHVN | W 71-53 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 10 | @ CONN | L 62-89 | +32.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs UML | W 86-72 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs BU | W 54-49 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 21 | @ LEH | W 82-67 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs LONG | W 95-70 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FAIR | W 106-77 | -3.5 | W +25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 3 | vs HOF | W 72-70 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 6 | vs UALB | W 93-65 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 9 | @ STBK | L 73-77 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | @ CAL | L 56-74 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 28 | @ UNF | W 90-82 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 5 | @ COR | W 104-99 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 170.5 | O 203 |
| Jan 10 | vs HARV | L 54-79 | -5.5 | L −30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ BRWN | L 80-86 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 19 | @ YALE | L 74-91 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ DART | W 79-69 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | vsPENN | W 72-67 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vs PRIN | L 68-80 | -5.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsCOR | L 67-88 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 171.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
+10.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
+5.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+0.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
+0.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+12.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+21.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+25.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−1.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+14.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
−8.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−9.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
−3.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+8.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−30.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
−8.5
19
@YALE
YALEL 74-91
−7.5
24
@DART
DARTW 79-69
+7.5
30
vsPENN
PENNW 72-67
+0.5
31
vsPRIN
PRINL 68-80
−17.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 67-88
−19.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
−24.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
−4.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+1.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
−41.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+5.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+11.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+32.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−2.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+13.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
+3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−23.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
+9.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+32.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−12.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
+22.5
19
@YALE
YALEL 74-91
+14.5
24
@DART
DARTW 79-69
−8.5
30
vsPENN
PENNW 72-67
−14.5
31
vsPRIN
PRINL 68-80
+8.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 67-88
−16.5
over 11under 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-14
30% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vsHOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vsBRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | @HARV | L 63-64 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsYALE | L 60-77 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | @COLU | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @COR | W 91-81 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRIN | W 61-60 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
+4.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−10.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−0.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
+17.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
−23.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−20.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−14.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
−1.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−23.5
over 6under 14avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Columbia
12-8 overall · 3-5 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cornell67–88
- Lvs Princeton68–80
- Wvs Penn72–67
- W@ Dartmouth79–69
- L@ Yale74–91
6 days since their last game.
Penn
10-10 overall · 4-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Princeton61–60
- W@ Cornell91–81
- L@ Columbia67–72
- Lvs Yale60–77
- L@ Harvard63–64
6 days since their last game.