Cabot Center · at Northeastern · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -5.5✓ W&M covered by 21.5
W&M -5.5✓ W&M covered by 21.5Closing total167.5Under by 6.5
| W&M | This season | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 6-17 |
| 14-8 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 16-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 85–81 NE · ✓ W&M (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 45 | 49 | 94 |
| NE | 34 | 33 | 67 |
1st half: W&M 45, NE 34 (W&M by 11). The model had W&M by 2.5 and a total of 77.7 (actual 79).
Team stats
| W&M | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-64 55% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 12-22 55% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 39 11 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 27 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 26 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Chase Lowe G | 25 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 25 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-12 | 5-8 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Frazier G | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Colin Lamine Ndaw G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Spencer, Ethan Connery, Jhei-R Jones, Miles Hicks
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Abreu G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 10-21 | 3-9 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| JB Frankel G | 29 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 27 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Youri Fritz F | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Williams G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Ty Francis F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Petar Pinter C | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Liam Koelsch, Miles Newton, Haris Elezovic, Xander Alarie, William Kermoury, LA Pratt
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -5.5
ModelW&M -3.9
Model edgeNE +1.6
L W&M covered
Total
Market167.5
Model166.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
W&M 85.1 · NE 81.2
W&M 94 · NE 67
Win probability
W&M 63%
1st half
Spread
W&M -2.5
W&M -11.0
Total
77.7
79 points
Projected score
W&M 40.1 · NE 37.6
W&M 45 · NE 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -4.5
1 → W&M
CloseW&M -5.5
1 pt toward W&M
Total
Open167.5
no move
Close167.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
W&M -265 · NE +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -4.5 · closed W&M -5.5 · moved 1 toward W&Mmodel W&M -4
model W&M -4
Opened 167.5 · unchangedmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| NE | 1-9 10% | 1-9 10% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
W&M 3–4 NENE leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · W&M 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | NE 70 @ W&M 68 | W&M -2.5 | NE W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | W&M 72 @ NE 68 | NE -9.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | W&M 57 @ NE 69 | NE -8.5 | NE W |
| Jan 5, 2022-23 | NE 66 @ W&M 69 | W&M +2.5 | W&M W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | NE 68 vs W&M 63 | W&M +7.5 | W&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs STBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vs NCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 22 | vs UNCW | W 77-70 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs HOF | W 89-82 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ ELON | L 76-79 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAM | L 96-104 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 5 | @UNCW | W 85-78 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ HAMP | L 74-77 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
+4.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+3.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
−16.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+11.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
−12.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+13.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−14.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
+31.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+3.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−1.5
over 10under 12avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northeastern
23 games played
Straight up
6-17
26% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-7
70% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vsDUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vsUNCW | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vsTOW | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsELON | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @MONM | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsSTBK | L 80-95 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 24 | @DREX | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsCOFC | L 84-89 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | @HOF | L 63-80 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 7 | @STBK | L 55-69 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
−4.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
−6.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+10.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
−9.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
−18.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
−0.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
−1.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−8.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+22.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
+21.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+5.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
+5.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
+26.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
+21.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
+11.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−10.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−29.5
over 16under 7avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
13-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hampton74–77
- W@ UNC Wilmington85–78
- Lvs Campbell96–104
- L@ Elon76–79
- Wvs Hofstra89–82
5 days since their last game.
Northeastern
6-17 overall · 2-10 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stony Brook55–69
- L@ Hofstra63–80
- Lvs Charleston84–89
- L@ Drexel78–83
- Lvs Stony Brook80–95
5 days since their last game.