Mitchell Center · at South Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
USA -14.5✓ USA covered by 20.5
USA -14.5✓ USA covered by 20.5Closing total153.5Under by 10.5
 ULM | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-25 | Record | 18-9 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 19-7 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ULM 69–84 USA · ✓ USA (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 14 | 40 | 54 |
| USA | 42 | 47 | 89 |
1st half: ULM 14, USA 42 (USA by 28). The model had USA by 8.6 and a total of 71.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| ULM | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-58 29% | Field goals | 30-52 58% |
| 8-36 22% | 3-pointers | 14-32 44% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 41 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Lewis G | 39 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 5-20 | 4-14 |
| MJ Russell G | 37 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Lavell Brodnex G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Renars Sondors F | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Micah Caster G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Molofeev G | 25 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Ayomide Bamisile F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Wiggy Ball G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Przemek Hartman C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Campbell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ajay Tew G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brady Craig, Brentay Noel, Alex Huguet, Dylan Diaz
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Cooper G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-10 |
| Adam Olsen F | 32 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 9-15 | 8-13 |
| Randy Brady F | 28 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Chaze Harris G | 27 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| JJ Wheat G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Maxwell Land G | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSA -14.5
ModelUSA -14.7
Model edgeUSA +0.2
W USA covered
Total
Market153.5
Model153.5
Model edge—
Under
Projected score
ULM 69.4 · USA 84.1
ULM 54 · USA 89
Win probability
USA 90%
1st half
Spread
USA -8.6
USA -28.0
Total
71.8
56 points
Projected score
ULM 31.6 · USA 40.2
ULM 14 · USA 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -14.5
no move
CloseUSA -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ULM +900 · USA -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -14.5 · unchangedmodel USA -14.5 matches the line
model USA -14.5 = line ✓
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 1-9 10% | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% |
| USA | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ULM 3–5 USAUSA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ULM 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025-26 | USA 96 @ ULM 92 | ULM +9.5 | ULM W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | ULM 62 @ USA 58 | USA -15.5 | ULM W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | USA 66 @ ULM 77 | ULM +11.5 | ULM W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | ULM 69 @ USA 80 | USA -7.5 | USA W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | USA 66 @ ULM 80 | ULM +3.5 | ULM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UL Monroe
27 games played
Straight up
2-25
7% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-7
73% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NIU | L 82-102 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ MISS | L 65-86 | +37.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 13 | @ HCU | L 61-72 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAM | L 66-79 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs MORE | L 80-83 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 23 | @ ETSU | L 55-97 | +19.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | vs MVSU | W 66-52 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 7 | @ SFA | L 76-96 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ MIA | L 79-104 | +35.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 17 | vsUSA | L 92-96 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs UL | L 62-76 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | @ KSU | L 85-94 | +32.5 | W +23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 1 | vs USM | L 73-87 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | vs TXST | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @UL | L 79-85 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | @USM | L 60-70 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vs GAST | L 57-77 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | @ MRSH | L 60-115 | +18.5 | L −36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 23 | @ APP | L 43-59 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 30 | vs GASO | L 76-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Feb 1 | vs CCU | L 79-83 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | @ ODU | W 85-79 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs BALL | L 68-73 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | @ ARST | L 70-103 | +20.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 14 | @TXST | L 84-95 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 18 | vs TROY | L 76-77 | +17.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | vsARST | L 94-102 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 196 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+16.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−2.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
−1.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+3.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
−22.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
+4.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
−0.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+10.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+5.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
−12.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+23.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
−4.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTL 79-84
+5.5
8
@UL
ULL 79-85
+1.5
10
@USM
USML 60-70
+4.5
17
vsGAST
GASTL 57-77
−13.5
22
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-115
−36.5
23
@APP
APPL 43-59
+0.5
1
vsCCU
CCUL 79-83
+6.5
4
@ODU
ODUW 85-79
+20.5
7
vsBALL
BALLL 68-73
−0.5
11
@ARST
ARSTL 70-103
−12.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 84-95
+3.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 76-77
+16.5
21
vsARST
ARSTL 94-102
+7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+1.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−10.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
+4.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+17.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
+5.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
−31.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
+29.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+29.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+39.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
+1.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+9.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
+7.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTL 79-84
+12.5
8
@UL
ULL 79-85
+24.5
10
@USM
USML 60-70
−25.5
17
vsGAST
GASTL 57-77
−21.5
22
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-115
+14.5
23
@APP
APPL 43-59
−42.5
1
vsCCU
CCUL 79-83
+15.5
4
@ODU
ODUW 85-79
+9.5
7
vsBALL
BALLL 68-73
−2.5
11
@ARST
ARSTL 70-103
+10.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 84-95
+29.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 76-77
−0.5
21
vsARST
ARSTL 94-102
+30.5
over 19under 7avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
27 games played
Straight up
18-9
67% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vsGASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vsCCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vsGAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 16 | @MRSH | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsTXST | L 82-90 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 21 | vsTROY | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+2.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
−11.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
+13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+13.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
+34.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
−23.5
over 15under 12avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UL Monroe
2-25 overall · 1-15 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas St94–102
- Lvs Troy76–77
- L@ Texas St84–95
- L@ Arkansas St70–103
- Lvs Ball State68–73
4 days since their last game.
South Alabama
18-9 overall · 10-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Troy65–54
- Lvs Texas St82–90
- L@ Marshall80–84
- W@ Arkansas St92–88
- W@ Southern Miss84–78
4 days since their last game.