Atlantic Union Bank Center · at James Madison · Conference game
Closing line
JMU -4.5✓ USA covered by 11.5
JMU -4.5✓ USA covered by 11.5Closing total138.5Over by 34.5
 USA | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 8-10 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 5-13 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 71–73 JMU · ✗ JMU (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 36 | 54 | 90 |
| JMU | 40 | 43 | 83 |
1st half: USA 36, JMU 40 (JMU by 4). The model had JMU by 0.7 and a total of 67.4 (actual 76).
Team stats
| USA | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 16-42 38% |
| 24-39 62% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 38 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 13 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 16 | Fouls | 27 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 27 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 38 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 8-16 | 4-10 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 28 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Chaze Harris G | 21 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Randy Brady F | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Wheat G | 29 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Stephen Williams F | 22 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 36 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 4-16 | 4-16 |
| Justin McBride F | 33 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 9-12 | 5-6 |
| Preston Fowler F | 28 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kose Egbule G | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 32 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Christian Brown F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Paul Jones III G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ike Cornish, Josh Stephen, Justin Taylor, Chance Lundy, Paul Lewis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJMU -4.5
ModelJMU -1.4
Model edgeUSA +3.1
W USA covered
Total
Market138.5
Model143.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
USA 71.2 · JMU 72.6
USA 90 · JMU 83
Win probability
JMU 55%
1st half
Spread
JMU -0.7
JMU -4.0
Total
67.4
76 points
Projected score
USA 33.3 · JMU 34.1
USA 36 · JMU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -3.5
1 → JMU
CloseJMU -4.5
1 pt toward JMU
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
USA +160 · JMU -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -3.5 · closed JMU -4.5 · moved 1 toward JMUmodel JMU -1.5
model JMU -1.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| JMU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USA 3–1 JMUUSA leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · USA 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | JMU 49 @ USA 77 | USA -0.5 | USA W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | USA 55 @ JMU 89 | JMU -12.5 | JMU W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | USA 75 vs JMU 66 | JMU -1.5 | USA W |
| Jan 12, 2022-23 | JMU 62 @ USA 63 | USA +2.5 | USA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs ARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
over 9under 8avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
5-13
28% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vsCOPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs MRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 13avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
over 10under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
11-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Louisiana56–59
- Wvs Arkansas St91–87
- Wvs GA Southern87–71
- L@ Troy49–59
- W@ Louisiana63–58
5 days since their last game.
James Madison
8-10 overall · 2-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marshall72–77
- L@ App State65–80
- Wvs Old Dominion70–69
- Lvs Marshall64–66
- W@ Arkansas St78–74
5 days since their last game.