Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -7.5✓ ARK covered by 7.5
ARK -7.5✓ ARK covered by 7.5Closing total170.5Over by 12.5
 TA&M | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 19-8 | Record | 20-7 |
| 16-11 | ATS | 18-9 |
| 15-12 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TA&M 84–90 ARK · ✓ ARK (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 28 | 56 | 84 |
| ARK | 37 | 62 | 99 |
1st half: TA&M 28, ARK 37 (ARK by 9). The model had ARK by 3.6 and a total of 81.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TA&M | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-57 53% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 29-33 88% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 30 |
Players
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaun Agee F | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Rylan Griffen G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jacari Lane G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Marcus Hill G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Clemence F | 26 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 11-14 | 3-6 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Ali Dibba G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Holloway G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mackenzie Mgbako, Chris McDermott, Noah Shelby, Jeremiah Green
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 7-19 | 1-6 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 34 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 31 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| Nick Pringle F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malique Ewin F | 34 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Karter Knox, Isaiah Sealy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARK -7.5
ModelARK -6.3
Model edgeTA&M +1.2
L ARK covered
Total
Market170.5
Model173.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
TA&M 83.8 · ARK 90.1
TA&M 84 · ARK 99
Win probability
ARK 71%
1st half
Spread
ARK -3.6
ARK -9.0
Total
81.2
65 points
Projected score
TA&M 38.8 · ARK 42.4
TA&M 28 · ARK 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -8.5
1 → TA&M
CloseARK -7.5
1 pt toward TA&M
Total
Open171.5
▼ 1
Close170.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TA&M +300 · ARK -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -8.5 · closed ARK -7.5 · moved 1 toward TA&Mmodel ARK -6.5
model ARK -6.5
Opened 171.5 · closed 170.5 · moved 1 downmodel 174
model 174
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
TA&M 5–4 ARKTA&M leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · TA&M 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | ARK 61 @ TA&M 69 | TA&M -7.5 | TA&M W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | ARK 78 @ TA&M 71 | TA&M -12.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | TA&M 77 @ ARK 78 | ARK +2.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | ARK 61 vs TA&M 67 | TA&M -0.5 | TA&M W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | ARK 56 @ TA&M 62 | TA&M -3.5 | TA&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas A&M
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs PV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vs LSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @ AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs OU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @ TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @ TEX | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs MSST | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs SC | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @ UGA | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ ALA | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vs FLA | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | vs MIZ | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | @ VAN | L 69-82 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs MISS | W 80-77 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | @OU | W 75-71 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
+11.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+12.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
+19.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+5.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−13.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
−8.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−5.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−6.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−22.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+5.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
−4.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+16.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−14.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
+10.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−14.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−0.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
−19.5
over 15under 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
27 games played
Straight up
20-7
74% wins
Against the spread
18-9
67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vsTENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs UK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vsMIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
covered 18didn’t cover 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
over 14under 13avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas A&M
19-8 overall · 9-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma75–71
- Wvs Ole Miss80–77
- L@ Vanderbilt69–82
- Lvs Missouri85–86
- Lvs Florida67–86
4 days since their last game.
Arkansas
20-7 overall · 10-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri94–86
- L@ Alabama115–117
- Wvs Auburn88–75
- W@ LSU91–62
- W@ Mississippi St88–68
4 days since their last game.