Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
TEX -9.5✓ TEX covered by 1.5
TEX -9.5✓ TEX covered by 1.5Closing total145.5Over by 1.5
 MISS | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 13-9 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 13-9 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 71–80 TEX · ✓ TEX (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 25 | 43 | 68 |
| TEX | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: MISS 25, TEX 37 (TEX by 12). The model had TEX by 5.0 and a total of 70.5 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MISS | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 20-23 87% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patton Pinkins G | 35 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-5 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-5 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 19 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malik Dia F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| AJ Storr G | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Koren Johnson G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Travis Perry G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| James Scott F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 37 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tramon Mark G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 8-14 | 1-4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 35 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Pope G | 21 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Lassina Traore, John Clark, Cole Bott
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -9.5
ModelTEX -8.5
Model edgeMISS +1.0
L TEX covered
Total
Market145.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 5.2
W Over
Projected score
MISS 71.1 · TEX 79.6
MISS 68 · TEX 79
Win probability
TEX 77%
1st half
Spread
TEX -5.0
TEX -12.0
Total
70.5
62 points
Projected score
MISS 32.8 · TEX 37.7
MISS 25 · TEX 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -9.5
no move
CloseTEX -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +425 · TEX -575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -9.5 · unchangedmodel TEX -8.5
model TEX -8.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–0 TEXMISS leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MISS 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | TEX 69 @ MISS 72 | MISS -6.5 | TEX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
over 12under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vsNCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsMSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vsVAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsUGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
over 13under 9avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-11 overall · 3-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee66–84
- L@ Vanderbilt68–71
- L@ Kentucky63–72
- Lvs Auburn66–78
- W@ Mississippi St68–67
4 days since their last game.
Texas
13-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina84–75
- W@ Oklahoma79–69
- L@ Auburn82–88
- Wvs Georgia87–67
- L@ Kentucky80–85
4 days since their last game.