Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -4.5✓ TENN covered by 10.5
ALA -4.5✓ TENN covered by 10.5Closing total167.5Under by 15.5
 TENN | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-6 | Record | 13-5 |
| 6-12 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TENN 81–87 ALA · ✗ ALA (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 36 | 43 | 79 |
| ALA | 39 | 34 | 73 |
1st half: TENN 36, ALA 39 (ALA by 3). The model had ALA by 3.1 and a total of 78.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| TENN | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 42 14 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ament F | 38 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 10-20 | 2-3 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 8-20 | 2-9 |
| Felix Okpara F | 34 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 26 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 24 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Carey F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Amari Evans G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Paull, Troy Henderson, Campbell Duncan, Clarence Massamba, Cade Phillips, Grant Hurst
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 38 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 7-20 | 2-9 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 33 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Houston Mallette G | 29 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Charles Bediako C | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| London Jemison F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Noah Williamson C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Fagan, Klark James, Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Keitenn Bristow, Amari Allen, Aden Holloway, Davion Hannah, Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -4.5
ModelALA -5.4
Model edgeALA +0.9
L TENN covered
Total
Market167.5
Model167.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
TENN 81.1 · ALA 86.5
TENN 79 · ALA 73
Win probability
ALA 68%
1st half
Spread
ALA -3.1
ALA -3.0
Total
78.5
75 points
Projected score
TENN 37.7 · ALA 40.8
TENN 36 · ALA 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -3.5
1 → ALA
CloseALA -4.5
1 pt toward ALA
Total
Open166.5
▲ 1
Close167.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TENN +160 · ALA -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -3.5 · closed ALA -4.5 · moved 1 toward ALAmodel ALA -5.5
model ALA -5.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 1 upmodel 167.5 matches the line
model 167.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TENN 4–1 ALATENN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · TENN has won the last 4 meetings · TENN 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ALA 76 @ TENN 79 | TENN -3.5 | ALA W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TENN 81 @ ALA 74 | ALA -4.5 | TENN W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | ALA 71 @ TENN 91 | TENN -5.5 | TENN W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | ALA 59 @ TENN 68 | TENN -3.5 | TENN W |
| Dec 29, 2021-22 | TENN 68 @ ALA 73 | ALA -7 | TENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vs TEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vs TA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs UK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
over 12under 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vsILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vsTEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @ OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
over 10under 8avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee
12-6 overall · 2-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kentucky78–80
- Wvs Texas A&M87–82
- L@ Florida67–91
- Wvs Texas85–71
- L@ Arkansas75–86
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
13-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma83–81
- W@ Mississippi St97–82
- Lvs Texas88–92
- L@ Vanderbilt90–96
- Wvs Kentucky89–74
A week or more of rest.