Humphrey Coliseum · at Mississippi St · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -7.5✓ VAN covered by 24.5
VAN -7.5✓ VAN covered by 24.5Closing total159.5Under by 15.5
| VAN | This season | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| 16-3 | Record | 10-9 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 6-13 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 86–80 MSST · ✓ VAN (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 51 | 37 | 88 |
| MSST | 30 | 26 | 56 |
1st half: VAN 51, MSST 30 (VAN by 21). The model had VAN by 3.8 and a total of 77.5 (actual 81).
Team stats
| VAN | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-65 54% | Field goals | 20-58 34% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 36 5 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 21 | Assists | 7 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 33 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 10-17 | 3-5 |
| Duke Miles G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 28 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| AK Okereke F | 27 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Washington F | 20 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Mike James G | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Harris F | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylon Dean-Vines G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Coleson Messer, Miles Keeffe, Mason Nicholson, George Kimble III, Frankie Collins
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 25 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Achor Achor F | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Epps G | 25 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| King Grace G | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Sergej Macura F | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dellquan Warren G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Amier Ali F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Walker F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gai Chol, Cameren Paul, Tee Bartlett
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -7.5
no move
CloseVAN -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
no move
Close159.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
VAN -345 · MSST +275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -7.5 · unchangedmodel VAN -6
model VAN -6
Opened 159.5 · unchangedmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAN -7.5 | VAN -6.2 | MSST +1.3 | L VAN covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 165.5 | Over 6.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VAN 85.9 · MSST 79.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAN -3.8 | VAN -21.0 |
| 1H total | 77.5 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | VAN 40.6 · MSST 36.8 | VAN 51 · MSST 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MSST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 1–3 MSSTMSST leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MSST has won the last 2 meetings · VAN 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | MSST 76 @ VAN 64 | VAN +2.5 | MSST W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | VAN 55 @ MSST 68 | MSST -12.5 | MSST W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | MSST 72 @ VAN 77 | VAN +2.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | VAN 69 @ MSST 74 | MSST -6.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
19 games played
Straight up
16-3
84% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
over 10under 9avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mississippi St
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
6-13
32% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UNA | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs ISU | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs SELA | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs KSU | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNM | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs NOLA | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vsSMU | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ GT | W 85-73 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | vs SF | L 62-65 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTAH | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIU | W 87-83 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vsMEM | W 71-66 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALST | W 94-56 | -17.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @TEX | W 101-98 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 7 | vs OU | W 72-53 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ UK | L 68-92 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsALA | L 82-97 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | vs MISS | L 67-68 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-88 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−0.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
−10.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−20.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
−23.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
−8.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−20.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
−7.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+10.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−7.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+6.5
16
vsLIU
LIUW 87-83
−12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 71-66
+1.5
29
vsALST
ALSTW 94-56
+20.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 101-98
+12.5
7
vsOU
OUW 72-53
+17.5
10
@UK
UKL 68-92
−13.5
13
vsALA
ALAL 82-97
−10.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 67-68
−4.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-88
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 13avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−3.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
+25.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−7.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
+10.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−1.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
+5.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+7.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−23.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+2.5
16
vsLIU
LIUW 87-83
+17.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 71-66
−16.5
29
vsALST
ALSTW 94-56
−4.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 101-98
+41.5
7
vsOU
OUW 72-53
−33.5
10
@UK
UKL 68-92
+7.5
13
vsALA
ALAL 82-97
+7.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 67-68
−12.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-88
−7.5
over 10under 9avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
16-3 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas68–93
- Lvs Florida94–98
- L@ Texas64–80
- Wvs LSU84–73
- Wvs Alabama96–90
4 days since their last game.
Mississippi St
10-9 overall · 2-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas A&M68–88
- Lvs Ole Miss67–68
- Lvs Alabama82–97
- L@ Kentucky68–92
- Wvs Oklahoma72–53
3 days since their last game.