Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State · Conference game
Closing line
KENN -1.5✓ JXST covered by 20.5
Closing total149.5Under by 14.5
| This season | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 9-10 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KENN 76–75 JXST · ✗ KENN (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENN | 22 | 36 | 58 |
| JXST | 37 | 40 | 77 |
1st half: KENN 22, JXST 37 (JXST by 15). The model had KENN by 0.7 and a total of 70.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| KENN | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-60 32% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 7-34 21% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 41 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Johnson G | 39 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-9 |
| Braedan Lue F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Trey Simpson F | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Harris G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-9 |
| Darius Washington III G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 18 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Eric Holland G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Charles Stone, Brendan Tousignaut, Amir Taylor, Nigel Thomas, Simeon Cottle, Chase Clemmons, Dozie Onyirimba, Davin Cosby Jr., Jamil Miller, Ramone Seals
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 36 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 33 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 8-18 | 3-7 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 29 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 30 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Thomas Tut F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Driggers F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aitor Anabitarte F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Connor Loy G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Vick, Ben Vungo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENN -1.5
ModelKENN -1.0
Model edgeJXST +0.5
W JXST covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
KENN 76.1 · JXST 75.1
KENN 58 · JXST 77
Win probability
KENN 53%
1st half
Spread
KENN -0.7
JXST -15.0
Total
70.8
59 points
Projected score
KENN 35.8 · JXST 35
KENN 22 · JXST 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJXST -1.5
3 → KENN
CloseKENN -1.5
3 pts toward KENN
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
KENN -122 · JXST +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JXST -1.5 · closed KENN -1.5 · moved 3 toward KENNmodel KENN -1
model KENN -1
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
KENN 5–2 JXSTKENN leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · KENN has won the last 5 meetings · KENN 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | JXST 82 @ KENN 88 | KENN -5.5 | KENN W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | KENN 74 @ JXST 70 | JXST -4.5 | KENN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | JXST 71 @ KENN 83 | KENN -1.5 | KENN W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | JXST 71 @ KENN 74 | KENN -8.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | KENN 54 @ JXST 52 | JXST +3.5 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kennesaw St
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 90-80 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 88-82 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 89-86 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 81-65 | +7.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 87-93 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 76-82 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 72-69 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 76-53 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
+8.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
−11.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+0.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
−16.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+3.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
−0.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+8.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
+2.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
+9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−0.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−23.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+3.5
10
vs
JXST
W 88-82
+0.5
14
vs
FIU
W 89-86
−2.5
17
@
WKU
W 81-65
+23.5
21
@
SHSU
L 87-93
−0.5
23
@
LT
L 76-82
−7.5
28
vs
WKU
W 72-69
−1.5
31
vs
NMSU
W 76-53
+19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
−2.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
+19.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+13.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
+7.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+41.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
+3.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+2.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
−25.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
−9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−4.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−29.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+17.5
10
vs
JXST
W 88-82
+20.5
14
vs
FIU
W 89-86
−0.5
17
@
WKU
W 81-65
−19.5
21
@
SHSU
L 87-93
+12.5
23
@
LT
L 76-82
+13.5
28
vs
WKU
W 72-69
−19.5
31
vs
NMSU
W 76-53
−30.5
over 10under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 75-58 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 67-74 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | @ | W 71-66 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vs
CCU
W 74-67
−0.5
19
vs
USA
L 65-71
−8.5
24
@
ARST
L 63-74
−6.5
26
vs
NDSU
L 43-56
−9.5
1
vs
UNA
L 66-73
−13.5
13
@
GAST
L 73-77
−7.5
17
vs
EKU
L 59-62
−5.5
20
@
ETSU
W 81-75
+15.5
29
vs
WKU
W 78-67
+13.5
2
@
DEL
W 67-64
−1.5
4
@
LIB
L 69-78
+0.5
7
vs
FIU
W 71-64
+5.5
10
@
KENN
L 82-88
−0.5
14
vs
SHSU
L 62-77
−16.5
17
vs
LT
W 64-60
−0.5
23
vs
MTSU
W 75-58
+18.5
28
@
FIU
W 78-74
+7.5
31
@
MOST
L 67-74
−2.5
5
@
WKU
W 71-66
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vs
CCU
W 74-67
+1.5
19
vs
USA
L 65-71
+0.5
24
@
ARST
L 63-74
−18.5
26
vs
NDSU
L 43-56
−43.5
1
vs
UNA
L 66-73
+4.5
13
@
GAST
L 73-77
+10.5
17
vs
EKU
L 59-62
−21.5
20
@
ETSU
W 81-75
+21.5
29
vs
WKU
W 78-67
+2.5
2
@
DEL
W 67-64
+4.5
4
@
LIB
L 69-78
+12.5
7
vs
FIU
W 71-64
−15.5
10
@
KENN
L 82-88
+20.5
14
vs
SHSU
L 62-77
−11.5
17
vs
LT
W 64-60
−3.5
23
vs
MTSU
W 75-58
−0.5
28
@
FIU
W 78-74
+3.5
31
@
MOST
L 67-74
+5.5
5
@
WKU
W 71-66
−3.5
over 11under 8avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kennesaw St
11-8 overall · 6-5 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Mexico St76–53
- Wvs Western KY72–69
- L@ Louisiana Tech76–82
- L@ Sam Houston87–93
- W@ Western KY81–65
A week or more of rest.
Jax State
9-10 overall · 7-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Western KY71–66
- L@ Missouri St67–74
- W@ FIU78–74
- Wvs MTSU75–58
- Wvs Louisiana Tech64–60
2 days since their last game.