Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -15.5✓ LIB covered by 0.5
LIB -15.5✓ LIB covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Under by 16.5
 DEL | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 13-3 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEL 62–77 LIB · ✓ LIB (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEL | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| LIB | 34 | 33 | 67 |
1st half: DEL 28, LIB 34 (LIB by 6). The model had LIB by 9.0 and a total of 64.8 (actual 62).
Team stats
| DEL | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-41 46% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 27 1 off | Rebounds | 28 5 off |
| 6 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| DEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Bliss G | 40 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Justyn Fernandez G | 40 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Macon Emory F | 35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Jayden Taylor F | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Houser F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Kazanecki G | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Houston Emory F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Ellison, Brandon Baffone, Bouna Kebe, Alex McFadden, Lance Piper, Nnanna Njoku, Jameel Brown, Cavan Reilly
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Porter G | 37 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 34 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 8-16 | 6-12 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 32 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| JJ Harper G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Torr Sorensen F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Grimes F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Drain, Brady Kester, JC Shirer Jr., Zander Yates, Isaiah Ihnen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -14.5
1 → LIB
CloseLIB -15.5
1 pt toward LIB
Total
Open138.5
▼ 4
Close134.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
DEL +900 · LIB -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -14.5 · closed LIB -15.5 · moved 1 toward LIBmodel LIB -15.5 matches the line
model LIB -15.5 = line ✓
Opened 138.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 4 downmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -15.5 | LIB -15.3 | DEL +0.2 | L LIB covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 138.4 | Over 3.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DEL 61.5 · LIB 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -9.0 | LIB -6.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | DEL 27.9 · LIB 36.9 | DEL 28 · LIB 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEL | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| LIB | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Delaware
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUCK | L 70-78 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ BYU | L 68-85 | +35.5 | W +18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 18 | vs SPU | W 81-70 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIU | L 59-79 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNCG | W 73-60 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 1 | vs IONA | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | @ DSU | L 72-75 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 129.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 10 | @ GW | W 70-58 | +21.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUN | L 66-88 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 16 | vs RID | W 65-57 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 29 | vs MOST | L 43-61 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs JXST | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | vs KENN | W 67-52 | +8.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 8 | @ SHSU | L 60-72 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @ LT | L 68-70 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 15 | vs UTEP | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs NMSU | L 68-97 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−5.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
+18.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+6.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−11.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
+14.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
−21.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
−10.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
+33.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
−23.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−0.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−16.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+1.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
+23.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−0.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+4.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
−2.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
−24.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
−11.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+13.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−15.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
−9.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
+5.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
+17.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
−24.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
+9.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−7.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−27.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+4.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
−29.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−12.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+14.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
+13.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
+30.5
over 8under 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsKENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vsJXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsNMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
over 8under 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Delaware
5-12 overall · 1-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs New Mexico St68–97
- Lvs UTEP69–70
- L@ Louisiana Tech68–70
- L@ Sam Houston60–72
- Wvs Kennesaw St67–52
A week or more of rest.
Liberty
13-3 overall · 8-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Western KY76–69
- Wvs UTEP80–69
- Wvs New Mexico St73–71
- W@ Sam Houston82–74
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–56
3 days since their last game.