Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -13.5✓ UTEP covered by 2.5
LIB -13.5✓ UTEP covered by 2.5Closing total137.5Over by 11.5
 UTEP | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 11-3 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTEP 64–75 LIB · ✓ LIB (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| LIB | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: UTEP 38, LIB 41 (LIB by 3). The model had LIB by 7.0 and a total of 65.1 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UTEP | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-51 55% | Field goals | 32-54 59% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 2-4 50% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 21 3 off | Rebounds | 23 4 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaseem Watson F | 38 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Jones F | 34 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 9-16 | 2-5 |
| Caleb Blackwell G | 34 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 7-13 | 6-11 |
| KJ Thomas G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Horton III G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Cassius Brooks G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bobby Montgomery Jr., Mouhamed Mbaye, Jordan Hernandez, C.J. Smith, Tyreese Watson, LA Hayes, David Tubek
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 34 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 9-10 | 0-1 |
| Colin Porter G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 8-16 | 3-6 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-5 |
| JJ Harper G | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zander Carter G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Smith F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester, Drew Grimes, Isaiah Ihnen, TJ Drain, JC Shirer Jr., Zander Yates
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -13.5
no move
CloseLIB -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTEP +800 · LIB -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -13.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -12
model LIB -12
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -13.5 | LIB -11.9 | UTEP +1.6 | W UTEP covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 138.9 | Over 1.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTEP 63.5 · LIB 75.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -7.0 | LIB -3.0 |
| 1H total | 65.1 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | UTEP 29.1 · LIB 36 | UTEP 38 · LIB 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| LIB | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UTEP 3–3 LIBSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · UTEP 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | UTEP 60 vs LIB 81 | LIB -7.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | LIB 76 @ UTEP 69 | UTEP +1.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UTEP 72 @ LIB 70 | LIB -8.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | UTEP 66 vs LIB 57 | LIB -3.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UTEP 67 @ LIB 51 | LIB -8.5 | UTEP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTEP
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs UAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ MOST | L 55-79 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | @ FIU | L 64-76 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | vs MTSU | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs WKU | L 56-68 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | @ DEL | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
−20.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−5.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+6.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−8.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
+2.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−12.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+25.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−20.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+13.5
over 7under 7avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
over 7under 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTEP
3-11 overall · 2-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware70–69
- Lvs Western KY56–68
- Wvs MTSU83–80
- L@ FIU64–76
- L@ Missouri St55–79
2 days since their last game.
Liberty
11-3 overall · 6-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Mexico St73–71
- W@ Sam Houston82–74
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–56
- Wvs Jax State78–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St81–73
2 days since their last game.