American Airlines Center · at Mavericks · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 LAC | This season | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DAL 116–112 · win probability DAL 61%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 227.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
LAC 3, DAL 5 · 2026-27 so far
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: LAC 52.9 and allows 56.9; DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3
DALBigLAC offense vs DAL defense
Offense 28th of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LAC has played the 10th-hardest schedule, DAL the 2nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
LACSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: LAC 28.0, DAL 21.4. Allowed: LAC 24.7, DAL 27.2
DALSmallThree-pointers
LAC hits 38.6% and allows 38.2%; DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%. Threes are 42.3% and 42.1% of their shots
DALSmallRecent form
Last 5: LAC 2-3 ATS, margin -13.8; DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6
LACSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: LAC 20.4%, DAL 16.8%. Forced: LAC 17.0%, DAL 14.5%
DALSmallHome court
DAL at home. This season: DAL 2-1 at home, LAC 0-4 away
LACSmallDAL offense vs LAC defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: LAC plays 101.7 a game (23rd fastest), DAL 102.8 (18th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAC 26.5%, DAL 27.8%. Defensive: LAC 70.9%, DAL 69.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAC 100%, DAL 100%. Transfers in: LAC 0, DAL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDAL -4.0
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model227.0
Model edge—
Projected score
LAC 111.5 · DAL 115.5
Win probability
DAL 61%
1st half
Spread
DAL -2.1
Total
113.7
Projected score
LAC 55.8 · DAL 57.9
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAClast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 25 since 2021-22
LAC 14–11 DALLAC leads · 25 games since 2021-22 · LAC has won the last 2 meetings · LAC 14-11 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025-26 | DAL 103 @ LAC 116 | LAC -11.5 | LAC W |
| Mar 21, 2025-26 | LAC 138 @ DAL 131 | DAL +7.5 | DAL W |
| Nov 29, 2025-26 | DAL 114 @ LAC 110 | LAC -9.5 | DAL W |
| Nov 14, 2025-26 | LAC 133 @ DAL 127 | DAL +3.5 | LAC W |
| Apr 5, 2024-25 | DAL 104 @ LAC 135 | LAC -9.5 | LAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clippers
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@
LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−17.5
30
@
MIN
MINL 101-127
−19.5
1
@
GS
GSL 112-124
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−34.5
30
@MIN
MINL 101-127
+5.5
1
@GS
GSL 112-124
+15.5
over 3under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mavericks has the better starters
Position by position: Clippers 2, Mavericks 3, even 0
ClippersBetterMavericks
G D. Garland20.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 27
←LACSmall
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
G K. Dunn8.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 25
→DALBig
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
G K. Sanders8.5 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast
Score 31
→DALSmall
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
F R. Hachimura13.4 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 83
←LACSmall
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
F I. Jackson8 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 8
→DALBig
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
ClippersBetterMavericks
LAC offense28th of 30 · -3.5
→DALBig
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
LAC defense12th of 30 · +1.7
=Even
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
Backcourt-5.9 · 3 players
=Even
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
→DALBig
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
Bench+3.5 · 5 players
=Even
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLAC betterDAL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
ClippersGuards
D. Garland33 minK. Dunn30 minK. Sanders23 minK. Wagler25 minJ. Pickett16 minG. Dick14 min
Forwards
R. Hachimura30 minI. Jackson22 minB. Miller8 minN. Martinelli5 min
Centers
B. Lopez22 min
Out
D. JonesDay-To-Day
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
LAC106.5 #28DAL114.3 #14Points per possession
LAC1.04 #27DAL1.12 #11Pace (possessions)
LAC101.7 #23DAL102.8 #18Shooting
Effective FG%
LAC52.9 #18DAL56.9 #23-point %
LAC38.6 #5DAL35.1 #143-point attempt rate
LAC42.3 #17DAL42.1 #18Free throw rate
LAC28.0 #17DAL21.4 #29Possessions
Turnover rate
LAC20.4 #30DAL16.8 #23Offensive rebound rate
LAC26.5 #21DAL27.8 #13Assists per game
LAC24.3 #26DAL27.0 #12Defense
Points allowed
LAC113.8 #15DAL111.8 #14Points allowed per possession
LAC1.13 #22DAL1.08 #13Opponent effective FG%
LAC56.9 #28DAL51.3 #9Opponent 3-point %
LAC38.2 #26DAL29.7 #2Turnovers forced
LAC17.0 #8DAL14.5 #24Defensive rebound rate
LAC70.9 #20DAL69.4 #25Steals per game
LAC11.3 #3DAL8.8 #16Blocks per game
LAC4.2 #22DAL6.8 #2| LAC | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 106.5 #28 | Points per game | 114.3 #14 |
| 1.04 #27 | Points per possession | 1.12 #11 |
| 101.7 #23 | Pace (possessions) | 102.8 #18 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.9 #18 | Effective FG% | 56.9 #2 |
| 38.6 #5 | 3-point % | 35.1 #14 |
| 42.3 #17 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #18 |
| 28.0 #17 | Free throw rate | 21.4 #29 |
| Possessions | ||
| 20.4 #30 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #23 |
| 26.5 #21 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.8 #13 |
| 24.3 #26 | Assists per game | 27.0 #12 |
| Defense | ||
| 113.8 #15 | Points allowed | 111.8 #14 |
| 1.13 #22 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #13 |
| 56.9 #28 | Opponent effective FG% | 51.3 #9 |
| 38.2 #26 | Opponent 3-point % | 29.7 #2 |
| 17.0 #8 | Turnovers forced | 14.5 #24 |
| 70.9 #20 | Defensive rebound rate | 69.4 #25 |
| 11.3 #3 | Steals per game | 8.8 #16 |
| 4.2 #22 | Blocks per game | 6.8 #2 |
Clippers
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Warriors112–124
- L@ Timberwolves101–127
- Lvs Lakers87–103
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
A week or more of rest.
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.