Spectrum Center · at Hornets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 GS | This season | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 3-4 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 1-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects GS 111–110 · win probability GS 54%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 220.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: GS has more of the edges
GS 6, CHA 2 · 2026-27 so far
GSBigThree-pointers
GS hits 40.0% and allows 35.2%; CHA hits 29.6% and allows 37.5%. Threes are 47.1% and 50.8% of their shots
GSBigCHA offense vs GS defense
Offense 30th of 30 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
GS has played the 6th-hardest schedule, CHA the 22nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
GSBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: GS 16.7%, CHA 18.8%. Forced: GS 17.6%, CHA 14.5%
GSBigFree throws
Free throw rate: GS 28.8, CHA 18.9. Allowed: GS 27.3, CHA 28.4
GSBigRecent form
Last 5: GS 5-0 ATS, margin +9.0; CHA 2-3 ATS, margin -3.4
CHASmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GS 33.2%, CHA 31.6%. Defensive: GS 70.4%, CHA 76.6%
GSSmallShooting
Effective FG%: GS 55.3 and allows 56.0; CHA 48.4 and allows 53.1
CHASmallHome court
CHA at home. This season: CHA 2-2 at home, GS 2-2 away
Even
GS offense vs CHA defense
Offense 9th of 30 against a defense 6th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 100 possessions: GS plays 101.4 a game (25th fastest), CHA 98.3 (30th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GS 100%, CHA 100%. Transfers in: GS 0, CHA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelGS -1.4
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model220.9
Model edge—
Projected score
GS 111.2 · CHA 109.8
Win probability
GS 54%
1st half
Spread
GS -0.9
Total
110.9
Projected score
GS 55.9 · CHA 55
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GSlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% |
| CHAlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 1-6 14% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
GS 8–2 CHAGS leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · GS has won the last 7 meetings · GS 6-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | CHA 116 @ GS 136 | GS -7.5 | GS W |
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | GS 132 @ CHA 125 | CHA +7.5 | CHA W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | GS 119 @ CHA 101 | CHA +12.5 | GS W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | CHA 92 @ GS 128 | GS -17.5 | GS W |
| Mar 29, 2023-24 | GS 115 @ CHA 97 | CHA +12.5 | GS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Warriors
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ LAL | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 233.5 | U 232 |
| Oct 23 | vs MEM | L 108-111 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 236.5 | U 219 |
| Oct 24 | @ PHX | L 122-131 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 221.5 | O 253 |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 | W +26.5 | 236.5 | O 248 |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 227.5 | O 233 |
| Oct 30 | vsLAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 234.5 | U 207 |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 220.5 | O 236 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−7.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+0.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+26.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+8.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
+19.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−17.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+31.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+11.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+5.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
−27.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+15.5
over 4under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hornets
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −15.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ BKN | W 110-103 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 220.5 | U 213 |
| Oct 23 | vs ATL | L 81-128 | +2.5 | L −44.5 | 226.5 | U 209 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIA | W 115-110 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 227.5 | U 225 |
| Oct 26 | vs WSH | W 110-103 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 225.5 | U 213 |
| Oct 28 | @ DET | L 89-97 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 212.5 | U 186 |
| Oct 30 | @WSH | L 79-95 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 218.5 | U 174 |
| Oct 31 | vs PHI | L 104-109 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
+5.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−44.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
+9.5
26
vsWSH
WSHW 110-103
+4.5
28
@DET
DETL 89-97
−0.5
30
@WSH
WSHL 79-95
−14.5
31
vsPHI
PHIL 104-109
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
−7.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−17.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
−2.5
26
vsWSH
WSHW 110-103
−12.5
28
@DET
DETL 89-97
−26.5
30
@WSH
WSHL 79-95
−44.5
31
vsPHI
PHIL 104-109
+1.5
over 1under 6avg −15.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Warriors has the better starters
Position by position: Warriors 2, Hornets 1, even 2
WarriorsBetterHornets
G B. Podziemski16.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 72
←GSBig
G D. Schroder11.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 5.4 ast
Score 21
G D. Melton11.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 62
=Even
G S. James3.7 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
Score 63
G B. Williams11.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 5
→CHABig
F B. Miller24.4 pts · 6 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 70
F Y. Lendeborg22.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 78
=Even
F M. Diabate9.4 pts · 9.6 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 66
F G. Niang6.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 72
←GSBig
C N. Reid15.9 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 14
WarriorsBetterHornets
GS offense9th of 30 · +1.9
=Even
CHA defense6th of 30 · +4.4
GS defense14th of 30 · +0.3
←GSBig
CHA offense30th of 30 · -7.4
Backcourt+5.3 · 3 players
←GSBig
Backcourt+0.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+12.0 · 2 players
←GSBig
Frontcourt+7.7 · 3 players
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
←GSBig
Bench-5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestGS betterCHA betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
WarriorsGuards
B. Podziemski34 minD. Melton22 minB. Williams17 minW. Richard16 minL. Cryer16 minG. Payton13 min
Forwards
Y. Lendeborg32 minG. Niang20 minG. Ike12 minM. Leons11 min
Centers
A. Horford19 minC. Bassey9 min
Out
S. CurryDay-To-DayG. SantosOutD. GreenDay-To-Day
HornetsGuards
D. Schroder32 minS. James25 minG. Allen27 minL. McNeeley12 minC. Anderson11 minM. AjayiNew
Forwards
B. Miller34 minM. Diabate29 minR. O'Neale18 minT. Salaun14 minH. Steinbach7 min
Centers
N. Reid29 minR. Kalkbrenner17 minP. Hall13 min
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
GS117.7 #11CHA98.3 #30Points per possession
GS1.17 #3CHA0.99 #30Pace (possessions)
GS101.4 #25CHA98.3 #30Shooting
Effective FG%
GS55.3 #8CHA48.4 #293-point %
GS40.0 #2CHA29.6 #283-point attempt rate
GS47.1 #5CHA50.8 #2Free throw rate
GS28.8 #15CHA18.9 #30Possessions
Turnover rate
GS16.7 #22CHA18.8 #29Offensive rebound rate
GS33.2 #1CHA31.6 #4Assists per game
GS27.4 #10CHA21.6 #30Defense
Points allowed
GS114.9 #16CHA106.4 #4Points allowed per possession
GS1.13 #21CHA1.09 #15Opponent effective FG%
GS56.0 #25CHA53.1 #15Opponent 3-point %
GS35.2 #16CHA37.5 #24Turnovers forced
GS17.6 #5CHA14.5 #23Defensive rebound rate
GS70.4 #23CHA76.6 #5Steals per game
GS9.1 #11CHA7.1 #25Blocks per game
GS4.1 #24CHA5.0 #15| GS | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.7 #11 | Points per game | 98.3 #30 |
| 1.17 #3 | Points per possession | 0.99 #30 |
| 101.4 #25 | Pace (possessions) | 98.3 #30 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.3 #8 | Effective FG% | 48.4 #29 |
| 40.0 #2 | 3-point % | 29.6 #28 |
| 47.1 #5 | 3-point attempt rate | 50.8 #2 |
| 28.8 #15 | Free throw rate | 18.9 #30 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.7 #22 | Turnover rate | 18.8 #29 |
| 33.2 #1 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.6 #4 |
| 27.4 #10 | Assists per game | 21.6 #30 |
| Defense | ||
| 114.9 #16 | Points allowed | 106.4 #4 |
| 1.13 #21 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #15 |
| 56.0 #25 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #15 |
| 35.2 #16 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.5 #24 |
| 17.6 #5 | Turnovers forced | 14.5 #23 |
| 70.4 #23 | Defensive rebound rate | 76.6 #5 |
| 9.1 #11 | Steals per game | 7.1 #25 |
| 4.1 #24 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #15 |
Warriors
4-3 overall · 4-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Clippers124–112
- Wvs Lakers112–95
- W@ Timberwolves119–114
- W@ Nuggets134–114
- L@ Suns122–131
A week or more of rest.
Hornets
3-4 overall · 3-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs 76ers104–109
- L@ Wizards79–95
- L@ Pistons89–97
- Wvs Wizards110–103
- Wvs Heat115–110
A week or more of rest.