Barclays Center · at Nets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DAL | This season | BKN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DAL 117–109 · win probability DAL 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 226.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
DAL 4, BKN 3 · 2026-27 so far
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3; BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3
Context
Schedule so far
DAL has played the 2nd-hardest schedule, BKN the 19th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DALBigBKN offense vs DAL defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
DALBigThree-pointers
DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%; BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 42.1% and 48.0% of their shots
BKNSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DAL 27.8%, BKN 25.4%. Defensive: DAL 69.4%, BKN 77.8%
DALSmallDAL offense vs BKN defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
BKNSmallHome court
BKN at home. This season: BKN 0-3 at home, DAL 2-1 away
BKNSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: DAL 16.8%, BKN 18.2%. Forced: DAL 14.5%, BKN 15.9%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: DAL plays 102.8 a game (18th fastest), BKN 105.1 (10th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Recent form
Last 5: DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6; BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DAL 21.4, BKN 32.9. Allowed: DAL 27.2, BKN 33.5
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DAL 100%, BKN 100%. Transfers in: DAL 0, BKN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDAL -8.0
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model226.3
Model edge—
Projected score
DAL 117.1 · BKN 109.2
Win probability
DAL 72%
1st half
Spread
DAL -4.7
Total
113.4
Projected score
DAL 59 · BKN 54.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
DAL 9–2 BKNDAL leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · DAL has won the last 3 meetings · DAL 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | DAL 123 @ BKN 114 | BKN +1.5 | DAL W |
| Jan 12, 2025-26 | BKN 105 @ DAL 113 | DAL -3.5 | DAL W |
| Dec 12, 2025-26 | BKN 111 @ DAL 119 | DAL -7.5 | DAL W |
| Mar 31, 2024-25 | BKN 113 @ DAL 109 | DAL -9.5 | BKN W |
| Mar 24, 2024-25 | DAL 120 @ BKN 101 | BKN +2.5 | DAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vs
OKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mavericks has the better starters
Position by position: Mavericks 2, Nets 1, even 2
MavericksBetterNets
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
=Even
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
←DALBig
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
=Even
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
→BKNSmall
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
←DALBig
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
MavericksBetterNets
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
←DALSmall
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
←DALBig
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
←DALBig
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
←DALBig
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
←DALBig
Bench-17.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDAL betterBKN betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
M. BrownDay-To-DayE. DeminOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DAL114.3 #14BKN108.2 #25Points per possession
DAL1.12 #11BKN1.03 #29Pace (possessions)
DAL102.8 #18BKN105.1 #10Shooting
Effective FG%
DAL56.9 #2BKN50.7 #263-point %
DAL35.1 #14BKN35.1 #153-point attempt rate
DAL42.1 #18BKN48.0 #3Free throw rate
DAL21.4 #29BKN32.9 #6Possessions
Turnover rate
DAL16.8 #23BKN18.2 #27Offensive rebound rate
DAL27.8 #13BKN25.4 #23Assists per game
DAL27.0 #12BKN22.8 #28Defense
Points allowed
DAL111.8 #14BKN116.0 #21Points allowed per possession
DAL1.08 #13BKN1.11 #18Opponent effective FG%
DAL51.3 #9BKN55.3 #23Opponent 3-point %
DAL29.7 #2BKN35.8 #19Turnovers forced
DAL14.5 #24BKN15.9 #12Defensive rebound rate
DAL69.4 #25BKN77.8 #2Steals per game
DAL8.8 #16BKN9.0 #14Blocks per game
DAL6.8 #2BKN4.7 #17| DAL | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 114.3 #14 | Points per game | 108.2 #25 |
| 1.12 #11 | Points per possession | 1.03 #29 |
| 102.8 #18 | Pace (possessions) | 105.1 #10 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.9 #2 | Effective FG% | 50.7 #26 |
| 35.1 #14 | 3-point % | 35.1 #15 |
| 42.1 #18 | 3-point attempt rate | 48.0 #3 |
| 21.4 #29 | Free throw rate | 32.9 #6 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.8 #23 | Turnover rate | 18.2 #27 |
| 27.8 #13 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.4 #23 |
| 27.0 #12 | Assists per game | 22.8 #28 |
| Defense | ||
| 111.8 #14 | Points allowed | 116.0 #21 |
| 1.08 #13 | Points allowed per possession | 1.11 #18 |
| 51.3 #9 | Opponent effective FG% | 55.3 #23 |
| 29.7 #2 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.8 #19 |
| 14.5 #24 | Turnovers forced | 15.9 #12 |
| 69.4 #25 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.8 #2 |
| 8.8 #16 | Steals per game | 9.0 #14 |
| 6.8 #2 | Blocks per game | 4.7 #17 |
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.