Barclays Center · at Nets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | BKN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects POR 118–106 · win probability POR 80%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 224.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: POR has more of the edges
POR 7, BKN 1 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigShooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3
PORBigBKN offense vs POR defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PORBigPOR offense vs BKN defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
PORBigFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, BKN 32.9. Allowed: POR 27.8, BKN 33.5
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, BKN the 19th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORSmallThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 51.5% and 48.0% of their shots
PORSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, BKN 18.2%. Forced: POR 14.8%, BKN 15.9%
BKNSmallHome court
BKN at home. This season: BKN 0-3 at home, POR 3-0 away
PORSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, BKN 25.4%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, BKN 77.8%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), BKN 105.1 (10th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Recent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, BKN 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, BKN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPOR -12.0
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model224.3
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 118.2 · BKN 106.1
Win probability
POR 80%
1st half
Spread
POR -7.0
Total
112.5
Projected score
POR 59.7 · BKN 52.8
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
POR 6–4 BKNPOR leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 3 meetings · POR 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025-26 | BKN 99 @ POR 134 | POR -15.5 | POR W |
| Mar 16, 2025-26 | POR 114 @ BKN 95 | BKN +10.5 | POR W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | POR 121 @ BKN 102 | BKN +1.5 | POR W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | BKN 132 @ POR 114 | POR -3.5 | BKN W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | BKN 103 @ POR 105 | POR +5.5 | POR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 4, Nets 1, even 0
Trail BlazersBetterNets
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
←PORBig
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
←PORSmall
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
←PORBig
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
→BKNBig
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
←PORBig
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
Trail BlazersBetterNets
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
←PORBig
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
←PORBig
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
←PORBig
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
←PORBig
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench-17.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterBKN betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
M. BrownDay-To-DayE. DeminOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4BKN108.2 #25Points per possession
POR1.16 #5BKN1.03 #29Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14BKN105.1 #10Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4BKN50.7 #263-point %
POR35.3 #12BKN35.1 #153-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1BKN48.0 #3Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3BKN32.9 #6Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9BKN18.2 #27Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14BKN25.4 #23Assists per game
POR26.2 #17BKN22.8 #28Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10BKN116.0 #21Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10BKN1.11 #18Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8BKN55.3 #23Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8BKN35.8 #19Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20BKN15.9 #12Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3BKN77.8 #2Steals per game
POR8.6 #18BKN9.0 #14Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21BKN4.7 #17| POR | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 108.2 #25 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.03 #29 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 105.1 #10 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 50.7 #26 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 35.1 #15 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 48.0 #3 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 32.9 #6 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 18.2 #27 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.4 #23 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 22.8 #28 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 116.0 #21 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.11 #18 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 55.3 #23 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.8 #19 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 15.9 #12 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.8 #2 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 9.0 #14 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 4.7 #17 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.