Toyota Center (Houston) · at Rockets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PHI | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 6-1 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 6-1 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects HOU 115–105 · win probability HOU 76%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 220.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: HOU has more of the edges
PHI 1, HOU 8 · 2026-27 so far
HOUBigPHI offense vs HOU defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 4th, on the model’s ratings
HOUBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PHI 19.9%, HOU 32.4%. Defensive: PHI 70.8%, HOU 73.2%
HOUBigThree-pointers
PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%; HOU hits 39.0% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 39.5% and 38.1% of their shots
PHIBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: PHI 12.3%, HOU 15.1%. Forced: PHI 17.0%, HOU 15.7%
HOUSmallShooting
Effective FG%: PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8; HOU 56.6 and allows 52.1
Context
Schedule so far
PHI has played the 20th-hardest schedule, HOU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOUSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: PHI 28.7, HOU 31.9. Allowed: PHI 28.5, HOU 24.7
HOUSmallRecent form
Last 5: PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6; HOU 4-1 ATS, margin +13.0
HOUSmallHome court
HOU at home. This season: HOU 3-0 at home, PHI 3-0 away
HOUSmallHOU offense vs PHI defense
Offense 6th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: PHI plays 102.4 a game (19th fastest), HOU 101.6 (24th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PHI 100%, HOU 100%. Transfers in: PHI 0, HOU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelHOU -9.9
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model220.2
Model edge—
Projected score
PHI 105.1 · HOU 115
Win probability
HOU 76%
1st half
Spread
HOU -5.5
Total
110.5
Projected score
PHI 52.5 · HOU 58
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
| HOUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 6-1 86% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PHI 6–4 HOUPHI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PHI 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025-26 | PHI 102 @ HOU 113 | HOU -6.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | HOU 122 @ PHI 128 | PHI +1.5 | PHI W |
| Mar 17, 2024-25 | PHI 137 @ HOU 144 | HOU -16.5 | PHI W |
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | HOU 122 @ PHI 115 | PHI +5.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | HOU 115 @ PHI 124 | PHI -8.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rockets
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
6-1
86% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs DAL | W 128-110 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 230.5 | O 238 |
| Oct 23 | @ SA | W 114-110 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 224.5 | U 224 |
| Oct 24 | @ ATL | W 121-114 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 227.5 | O 235 |
| Oct 26 | vsATL | W 120-110 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 228.5 | O 230 |
| Oct 28 | @MIL | W 132-100 | -8.5 | W +23.5 | 226.5 | O 232 |
| Oct 30 | @DAL | L 111-116 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 223.5 | O 227 |
| Oct 31 | vs OKC | W 119-98 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 219.5 | U 217 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsDAL
DALW 128-110
+8.5
23
@SA
SAW 114-110
+8.5
24
@ATL
ATLW 121-114
+5.5
26
vsATL
ATLW 120-110
+5.5
28
@MIL
MILW 132-100
+23.5
30
@DAL
DALL 111-116
−10.5
31
vsOKC
OKCW 119-98
+18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsDAL
DALW 128-110
+7.5
23
@SA
SAW 114-110
−0.5
24
@ATL
ATLW 121-114
+7.5
26
vsATL
ATLW 120-110
+1.5
28
@MIL
MILW 132-100
+5.5
30
@DAL
DALL 111-116
+3.5
31
vsOKC
OKCW 119-98
−2.5
over 5under 2avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rockets has the better starters
Position by position: 76ers 1, Rockets 2, even 2
76ersBetterRockets
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
=Even
G A. Thompson16.3 pts · 6.6 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 60
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
→HOUBig
G F. VanVleet13 pts · 4 reb · 6.4 ast
Score 94
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
←PHISmall
F J. Smith19 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 79
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
→HOUSmall
F K. Durant22 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 82
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
=Even
C A. Sengun22.8 pts · 9 reb · 7.4 ast
Score 84
76ersBetterRockets
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→HOUBig
HOU defense4th of 30 · +5.2
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
=Even
HOU offense6th of 30 · +2.9
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
←PHIBig
Backcourt+19.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
→HOUBig
Frontcourt+30.0 · 3 players
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
→HOUBig
Bench+16.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPHI betterHOU betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
RocketsGuards
A. Thompson34 minF. VanVleet31 minM. Smart25 minB. Bogdanovic15 minS. Pedulla4 minB. Thornton3 min
Forwards
J. Smith34 minK. Durant34 minT. Eason24 minJ. Tate9 minI. Crawford7 min
Centers
A. Sengun34 minO. Tshiebwe17 min
Out
S. AdamsOutC. CapelaDay-To-DayR. SheppardDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
PHI108.7 #23HOU120.7 #3Points per possession
PHI1.06 #22HOU1.20 #1Pace (possessions)
PHI102.4 #19HOU101.6 #24Shooting
Effective FG%
PHI50.8 #25HOU56.6 #33-point %
PHI34.0 #20HOU39.0 #33-point attempt rate
PHI39.5 #23HOU38.1 #26Free throw rate
PHI28.7 #16HOU31.9 #8Possessions
Turnover rate
PHI12.3 #1HOU15.1 #13Offensive rebound rate
PHI19.9 #30HOU32.4 #3Assists per game
PHI25.1 #22HOU28.1 #5Defense
Points allowed
PHI104.9 #2HOU108.3 #7Points allowed per possession
PHI1.03 #3HOU1.06 #8Opponent effective FG%
PHI49.8 #4HOU52.1 #10Opponent 3-point %
PHI32.1 #9HOU30.2 #4Turnovers forced
PHI17.0 #9HOU15.7 #16Defensive rebound rate
PHI70.8 #21HOU73.2 #14Steals per game
PHI9.6 #7HOU9.7 #6Blocks per game
PHI5.0 #14HOU5.9 #8| PHI | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #23 | Points per game | 120.7 #3 |
| 1.06 #22 | Points per possession | 1.20 #1 |
| 102.4 #19 | Pace (possessions) | 101.6 #24 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.8 #25 | Effective FG% | 56.6 #3 |
| 34.0 #20 | 3-point % | 39.0 #3 |
| 39.5 #23 | 3-point attempt rate | 38.1 #26 |
| 28.7 #16 | Free throw rate | 31.9 #8 |
| Possessions | ||
| 12.3 #1 | Turnover rate | 15.1 #13 |
| 19.9 #30 | Offensive rebound rate | 32.4 #3 |
| 25.1 #22 | Assists per game | 28.1 #5 |
| Defense | ||
| 104.9 #2 | Points allowed | 108.3 #7 |
| 1.03 #3 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #8 |
| 49.8 #4 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.1 #10 |
| 32.1 #9 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.2 #4 |
| 17.0 #9 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #16 |
| 70.8 #21 | Defensive rebound rate | 73.2 #14 |
| 9.6 #7 | Steals per game | 9.7 #6 |
| 5.0 #14 | Blocks per game | 5.9 #8 |
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.
Rockets
6-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Thunder119–98
- L@ Mavericks111–116
- W@ Bucks132–100
- Wvs Hawks120–110
- W@ Hawks121–114
A week or more of rest.