When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2023 · Philadelphia Eagles · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 14 games
2023 · Philadelphia Eagles · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
PHI -3 | 43 | 10253441 | U | TB Q1 | 9–32 |
2023 · Week 18 |
PHI -5 | 43 | 3242737 | U | NYG Q1 | 10–27 |
2023 · Week 17 |
PHI -12.5 | 48 | 10274266 | Q4 | ARI Q3 | 35–31 |
2023 · Week 16 |
PHI -14 | 41 | 10233858 | Q4 | NYG Q3 | 25–33 |
2023 · Week 15 |
PHI -5 | 46 | 7132737 | U | SEA Q4 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2023 · Week 14 |
DAL -3.5 | 52.5 | 10304046 | U | DAL Q1 | 13–33 |
2023 · Week 13 |
SF -3 | 46.5 | 6204161 | Q4 | SF Q2 | 42–19 |
2023 · Week 12 |
PHI -2.5 | 48.5 | 724386271 | Q4 | PHI OT | 34–37 |
2023 · Week 11 |
KC -2 | 46.5 | 14243138 | U | PHI Q4 | 21–17 |
2023 · Week 9 |
PHI -3.5 | 46.5 | 14314551 | Q4 | PHI Q3 | 23–28 |
2023 · Week 8 |
PHI -7 | 42.5 | 10273469 | Q4 | Push | 38–31 |
2023 · Week 7 |
PHI -3.5 | 51.5 | 6274148 | U | PHI Q2 | 17–31 |
2023 · Week 6 |
PHI -5.5 | 41.5 | 7232634 | U | NYJ Q2 Lead lost |
14–20 |
2023 · Week 4 |
PHI -8.5 | 44.5 | 1427386265 | Q4 | WSH Q1 | 31–34 |
PHI
TB
NYG
ARI
SEA
DAL
SF
BUF
KC
WSH
MIA
NYJWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 29% 4
Q2 21% 3
Q3 21% 3
Q4 14% 2
OT 7% 1
Push 7% 1
The team leading at halftime won 43% and covered 43% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 67% and covered 50% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.