When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · Virginia · pick one to list those games
36% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 60% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · Virginia · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
MIZ -4 | 43.5 | 7102020 | U | UVA Q3 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UVA -3.5 | 58.5 | 721274047 | U | DUKE Q1 | 27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UVA -8.5 | 52.5 | 7142434 | U | UVA Q2 | 7–27 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DUKE -5.5 | 60.5 | 7203451 | U | UVA Q1 | 34–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UVA -7.5 | 48.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 | 16–9 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UVA -5.5 | 52.5 | 10243852 | U | UVA Q1 Late cover flip |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
UVA -12.5 | 51.5 | 320202033 | U | UNC Q1 | 17–16 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UVA -16.5 | 56.5 | 14243042 | U | WSU Q1 Lead lost |
20–22 |
2025 · Week 6 |
LOU -6.5 | 61.5 | 1428384857 | U | UVA Q1 | 30–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
FSU -6.5 | 60.5 | 742567084 | Q4 | UVA Q1 | 38–46 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UVA -16.5 | 49.5 | 28425868 | Q3 | UVA Q3 | 20–48 |
 W&M @  UVA2025 · Week 3 |
UVA -29.5 | 52.5 | 14496671 | Q3 | UVA Q2 | 16–55 |
2025 · Week 2 |
NCSU -2.5 | 52.5 | 21386666 | Q3 | NCSU Q3 | 31–35 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UVA -13.5 | 54.5 | 7284955 | Q4 | UVA Q2 | 7–48 |
MIZ
DUKE
VT
WAKE
CAL
UNC
WSU
LOU
FSU
STAN
NCSU
CCUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 57% 8
Q2 21% 3
Q3 21% 3
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 82% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 100% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 8 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.