When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · Troy · pick one to list those games
36% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 36% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · Troy · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
JXST -3 | 47.5 | 14202330 | U | JXST Q4 | 13–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
JMU -24.5 | 47.5 | 3313145 | U | TROY Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USM -6.5 | 50.5 | 0172446 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TROY -10.5 | 51.5 | 0162950 | U | TROY Q4 | 19–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ODU -9.5 | 53.5 | 10202633 | U | ODU Q1 | 0–33 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TROY -7.5 | 52.5 | 17202333 | U | ARST Q1 | 23–10 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TROY -7.5 | 47.5 | 14384858 | Q3 | TROY Q3 Late cover flip |
23–35 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TROY -5.5 | 45.5 | 10254151 | Q4 | TROY Q1 | 37–14 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TXST -7.5 | 53.5 | 3548658289 | Q3 | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
48–41 |
2025 · Week 6 |
USA -2.5 | 46.5 | 1421384855 | Q4 | TROY Q1 Late over |
24–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BUFF -6.5 | 43.5 | 771438 | U | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MEM -4.5 | 51.5 | 7282835 | U | MEM Q1 | 28–7 |
2025 · Week 2 |
CLEM -29.5 | 51.5 | 7193643 | U | TROY Q1 | 16–27 |
 NICH @  TROY2025 · Week 1 |
TROY -16.5 | 46.5 | 0172758 | Q4 | TROY Q4 Late cover flip |
20–38 |
JXST
JMU
USM
GAST
ODU
ARST
UL
ULM
TXST
USA
BUFF
MEM
CLEMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 57% 8
Q2 0% 0
Q3 7% 1
Q4 36% 5
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 64% and covered 64% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 71% and covered 57% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 7 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.