When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Texas · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Texas · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
TEX -4 | 50.5 | 13344468 | Q4 | TEX Q4 | 27–41 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TA&M -2.5 | 54.5 | 0132344 | U | TEX Q3 | 17–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TEX -10.5 | 57.5 | 20446889 | Q3 | TEX Q3 | 37–52 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UGA -3.5 | 50.5 | 10172445 | U | UGA Q1 | 10–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TEX -3.5 | 48.5 | 17344465 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEX -8.5 | 49.5 | 1438457683 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Lead lost |
45–38 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TEX -13.5 | 45.5 | 07132629 | U | UK Q1 | 16–13 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TEX -2.5 | 43.5 | 391929 | U | TEX Q3 | 6–23 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TEX -4.5 | 42.5 | 10264350 | Q3 | FLA Q1 | 21–29 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TEX -39.5 | 51.5 | 14314855 | Q4 | TEX Q3 | 0–55 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TEX -40.5 | 52.5 | 7172337 | U | UTEP Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TEX -36.5 | 52.5 | 14354545 | U | SJSU Q1 | 7–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
OSU -1.5 | 46.5 | 07721 | U | OSU Q2 | 7–14 |
MICH
TEX
TA&M
ARK
UGA
VAN
MSST
UK
OU
FLA
SHSU
UTEP
SJSU
OSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 8% 1
Q3 31% 4
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 50% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 69% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.