When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · Ohio State · pick one to list those games
29% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · Ohio State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Week 15 |
OSU -3.5 | 45.5 | 10162323 | U | IU Q3 | 13–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OSU -10 | 42.5 | 9263336 | U | OSU Q3 | 27–9 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OSU -28.5 | 54.5 | 7173151 | U | OSU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
OSU -32.5 | 46.5 | 10274858 | Q3 | OSU Q3 Late cover flip |
10–48 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OSU -30.5 | 49.5 | 3272744 | U | PUR Q1 Late cover flip |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 10 |
OSU -17.5 | 45.5 | 7314552 | Q4 | OSU Q4 | 14–38 |
2025 · Week 8 |
OSU -24.5 | 41.5 | 17172734 | U | OSU Q3 | 34–0 |
2025 · Week 7 |
OSU -15.5 | 51.5 | 10233750 | U | OSU Q2 | 34–16 |
2025 · Week 6 |
OSU -23.5 | 42.5 | 10243145 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
3–42 |
2025 · Week 5 |
OSU -9.5 | 52.5 | 0102030 | U | OSU Q4 | 24–6 |
2025 · Week 3 |
OSU -28.5 | 49.5 | 3163246 | U | OHIO Q1 | 9–37 |
 GRAM @  OSU2025 · Week 2 |
OSU -51.5 | 64.5 | 21355670 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
0–70 |
2025 · Week 1 |
OSU -1.5 | 46.5 | 07721 | U | OSU Q2 | 7–14 |
MIA
IU
MICH
RUTG
UCLA
PUR
PSU
WIS
ILL
MINN
WASH
OHIO
TEXWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 21% 3
Q2 14% 2
Q3 43% 6
Q4 21% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 79% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 86% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.