When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · North Texas · pick one to list those games
71% went over. Of the 10 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · North Texas · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 27486296 | Q3 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
49–47 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNT -20.5 | 65.5 | 21425977 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 25–52 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNT -18.5 | 56.5 | 21426380 | Q3 | UNT Q3 | 56–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNT -6.5 | 68.5 | 14344848 | U | UNT Q1 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
UNT -25.5 | 60.5 | 17344774 | Q4 | UNT Q4 | 54–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UNT -3.5 | 63.5 | 24386272 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 17–55 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNT -2.5 | 68.5 | 21427799 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 63–36 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UNT -11.5 | 63.5 | 14214258 | U | UNT Q3 Late cover flip |
22–36 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UNT -2.5 | 50.5 | 2842527683 | Q3 | UNT OT | 45–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UNT -6.5 | 58.5 | 17455569 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 10–59 |
2025 · Week 2 |
UNT -12.5 | 56.5 | 024415463 | OT | WMU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
33–30 |
 LAM @  UNT2025 · Week 1 |
UNT -27.5 | 62.5 | 13375151 | U | UNT Q2 | 0–51 |
SDSU
TULN
TEM
RICE
UAB
NAVY
CLT
UTSA
USF
USA
ARMY
WSU
WMUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 6
Q2 21% 3
Q3 14% 2
Q4 14% 2
OT 7% 1
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 93% and covered 93% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.