When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · Kennesaw State · pick one to list those games
36% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 43% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · Kennesaw State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
WMU -3.5 | 47.5 | 27344747 | U | WMU Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KENN -3 | 62.5 | 071034 | U | KENN Q2 | 19–15 |
2025 · Week 14 |
KENN -2.5 | 55.5 | 1428427090 | Q4 | KENN OT | 48–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
KENN -6.5 | 54.5 | 17275475 | Q4 | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
34–41 |
2025 · Week 12 |
KENN -3.5 | 55.5 | 14323861 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
26–35 |
2025 · Week 11 |
KENN -11.5 | 52.5 | 17313145 | U | NMSU Q4 | 24–21 |
2025 · Week 10 |
KENN -12.5 | 53.5 | 14264353 | U | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
20–33 |
2025 · Week 9 |
KENN -2.5 | 49.5 | 21384871 | Q4 | KENN Q1 | 45–26 |
2025 · Week 7 |
LT -5.5 | 45.5 | 7212842 | U | KENN Q2 | 7–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KENN -7.5 | 54.5 | 24313140 | U | KENN Q1 | 16–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARST -4.5 | 58.5 | 21284249 | U | KENN Q1 | 21–28 |
 MRMK @  KENN2025 · Week 3 |
KENN -17.5 | 44.5 | 072440 | U | MRMK Q4 | 13–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
IU -35.5 | 51.5 | 14275165 | Q4 | IU Q4 | 9–56 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WAKE -18.5 | 51.5 | 13131919 | U | KENN Q1 | 9–10 |
WMU
JXST
LIB
MOST
NMSU
UTEP
FIU
LT
MTSU
ARST
IU
WAKEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 6
Q2 14% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 36% 5
OT 7% 1
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.