When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · James Madison · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 7 overs, 14% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 29% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · James Madison · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
ORE -20.5 | 47.5 | 16406885 | Q3 | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
34–51 |
2025 · Week 15 |
JMU -24.5 | 47.5 | 3313145 | U | TROY Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
JMU -23.5 | 53.5 | 17304169 | Q4 | JMU Q4 | 59–10 |
2025 · Week 13 |
JMU -15.5 | 45.5 | 6273444 | U | WSU Q1 | 20–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JMU -19.5 | 54.5 | 7273768 | Q4 | JMU Q2 Late over |
10–58 |
2025 · Week 11 |
JMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 7334858 | Q4 | MRSH Q1 Late over |
35–23 |
2025 · Week 10 |
JMU -7.5 | 55.5 | 14486972 | Q3 | JMU Q1 | 52–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
JMU -3.5 | 47.5 | 34557690 | Q2 | JMU Q3 | 27–63 |
2025 · Week 7 |
JMU -18.5 | 45.5 | 0212838 | U | UL Q1 | 14–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
JMU -18.5 | 52.5 | 771421 | U | GAST Q1 | 14–7 |
2025 · Week 5 |
JMU -16.5 | 54.5 | 7244545 | U | JMU Q2 | 10–35 |
2025 · Week 4 |
JMU -7.5 | 46.5 | 6203044 | U | JMU Q4 | 31–13 |
2025 · Week 2 |
LOU -15.5 | 56.5 | 7132842 | U | JMU Q1 | 14–28 |
 WEB @  JMU2025 · Week 1 |
JMU -27.5 | 54.5 | 14354155 | Q4 | JMU Q4 Late over |
10–45 |
ORE
TROY
CCU
WSU
APP
MRSH
TXST
ODU
UL
GAST
GASO
LIB
LOUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 7
Q2 14% 2
Q3 7% 1
Q4 29% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 70% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.