When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Duke · pick one to list those games
69% went over. Of the 9 overs, 22% had cashed by halftime and 44% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Duke · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
DUKE -4 | 49.5 | 28526781 | Q2 | ASU Q3 Lead lost |
39–42 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UVA -3.5 | 58.5 | 721274047 | U | DUKE Q1 | 27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DUKE -2.5 | 53.5 | 17386081 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 32–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DUKE -5.5 | 60.5 | 7203451 | U | UVA Q1 | 34–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DUKE -7.5 | 62.5 | 17345171 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
34–37 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLEM -4.5 | 55.5 | 28567391 | Q2 | DUKE Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
46–45 |
2025 · Week 8 |
DUKE -3.5 | 61.5 | 7142045 | U | GT Q1 | 27–18 |
2025 · Week 6 |
DUKE -3.5 | 55.5 | 21525266 | Q4 | DUKE Q2 | 45–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
DUKE -3.5 | 59.5 | 13273441 | U | DUKE Q1 | 38–3 |
2025 · Week 4 |
DUKE -3.5 | 57.5 | 14416178 | Q3 | DUKE Q3 | 33–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
DUKE -1.5 | 53.5 | 14334761 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ILL -2.5 | 49.5 | 10274764 | Q4 | ILL Q3 | 45–19 |
ASU
DUKE
UVA
WAKE
UNC
CONN
CLEM
GT
CAL
SYR
NCSU
TULN
ILLWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 8% 1
Q3 23% 3
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 91% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.