When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Western Kentucky · pick one to list those games
43% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 29% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Western Kentucky · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
JMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7213144 | U | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Week 15 |
JXST -4.5 | 58.5 | 17345064 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
12–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LIB -1.5 | 55.5 | 0284959 | Q4 | LIB Q2 Late over |
21–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WKU -11.5 | 52.5 | 3161619 | U | LT Q1 | 12–7 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WKU -18 | 53.5 | 21315269 | Q4 | NMSU Q1 Late cover flip |
41–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
WKU -23.5 | 49.5 | 28313145 | U | KENN Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SHSU -1.5 | 55.5 | 7313145 | U | WKU Q1 | 31–14 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WKU -18.5 | 54.5 | 21345161 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 17–44 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BC -7.5 | 48.5 | 7242741 | U | WKU Q1 Lead lost |
20–21 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TOL -2.5 | 60.5 | 0213347 | U | WKU Q4 | 21–26 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WKU -10.5 | 53.5 | 14215670 | Q3 | WKU Q1 | 49–21 |
 EKU @  WKU2024 · Week 2 |
WKU -18.5 | 59.5 | 10171731 | U | WKU Q4 | 0–31 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ALA -37.5 | 60.5 | 21425663 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 0–63 |
JMU
JXST
LIB
LT
NMSU
KENN
SHSU
UTEP
BC
TOL
MTSU
ALAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 57% 8
Q2 14% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 29% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 69% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 79% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.