When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2024 · Virginia Tech · pick one to list those games
62% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2024 · Virginia Tech · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
MINN -10.5 | 43.5 | 7313134 | U | MINN Q2 | 24–10 |
2024 · Week 14 |
VT -4.5 | 44.5 | 10234154 | Q4 | VT Q1 | 17–37 |
2024 · Week 13 |
VT -2.5 | 45.5 | 21384859 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 28–31 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CLEM -6.5 | 54.5 | 072138 | U | CLEM Q3 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 10 |
VT -3.5 | 50.5 | 1417396269 | Q4 | SYR Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
VT -11.5 | 52.5 | 3202727 | U | VT Q3 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
VT -8.5 | 46.5 | 14284963 | Q3 | VT Q4 | 21–42 |
2024 · Week 6 |
VT -9.5 | 49.5 | 7142838 | U | VT Q2 | 31–7 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MIA -17.5 | 55.5 | 21415172 | Q4 | VT Q1 Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 4 |
VT -3.5 | 44.5 | 14233049 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 3 |
VT -15.5 | 47.5 | 14243054 | Q4 | VT Q4 Late over |
37–17 |
2024 · Week 2 |
VT -20.5 | 52.5 | 7173845 | U | MRSH Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 1 |
VT -13.5 | 48.5 | 320335461 | Q4 | VAN Q1 Late over |
27–34 |
MINN
VT
UVA
DUKE
CLEM
SYR
GT
BC
STAN
MIA
RUTG
ODU
MRSH
VANWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 6
Q2 15% 2
Q3 23% 3
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 85% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.