When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Tulane · pick one to list those games
57% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 7% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Tulane · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
FLA -9.5 | 49.5 | 361641 | U | FLA Q3 | 8–33 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TULN -4.5 | 46.5 | 7283549 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TULN -12.5 | 54.5 | 17273458 | Q4 | MEM Q1 Late over |
34–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TULN -7.5 | 48.5 | 7142135 | U | TULN Q2 | 35–0 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TULN -25.5 | 50.5 | 7284258 | Q4 | TULN Q2 | 6–52 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TULN -14.5 | 54.5 | 3132337 | U | TULN Q3 | 34–3 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TULN -7.5 | 69.5 | 24486982 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
45–37 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TULN -22.5 | 52.5 | 3172034 | U | RICE Q1 | 10–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TULN -18.5 | 51.5 | 26436391 | Q3 | TULN Q2 | 71–20 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TULN -5.5 | 60.5 | 14384155 | U | TULN Q1 | 10–45 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TULN -1.5 | 53.5 | 7306474 | Q3 | TULN Q2 | 41–33 |
2024 · Week 3 |
OU -13.5 | 48.5 | 7273753 | Q4 | OU Q4 Late cover flip |
19–34 |
2024 · Week 2 |
KSU -9.5 | 46.5 | 10304061 | Q4 | TULN Q1 | 34–27 |
 SELA @  TULN2024 · Week 1 |
TULN -28.5 | 55.5 | 7213552 | U | TULN Q3 | 0–52 |
FLA
ARMY
MEM
NAVY
TEM
CLT
UNT
RICE
UAB
USF
UL
OU
KSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 6
Q2 29% 4
Q3 21% 3
Q4 7% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 93% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 100% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.