When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Ohio · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 29% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Ohio · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Week 15 |
M-OH -2.5 | 43.5 | 10243441 | U | OHIO Q1 | 38–3 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OHIO -17.5 | 51.5 | 14284963 | Q4 | OHIO Q3 | 21–42 |
2024 · Week 13 |
OHIO -0.5 | 45.5 | 071431 | U | OHIO Q4 | 24–7 |
2024 · Week 12 |
OHIO -10.5 | 51.5 | 0212845 | U | OHIO Q3 | 10–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OHIO -20.5 | 53.5 | 10203441 | U | OHIO Q3 | 41–0 |
2024 · Week 9 |
OHIO -4.5 | 45.5 | 3344963 | Q3 | OHIO Q2 | 16–47 |
2024 · Week 8 |
M-OH -3.5 | 42.5 | 3163650 | Q4 | M-OH Q2 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 7 |
OHIO -2.5 | 49.5 | 3243252 | Q4 | CMU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–25 |
2024 · Week 5 |
OHIO -7.5 | 45.5 | 3242640 | U | OHIO Q4 | 10–30 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UK -21.5 | 41.5 | 3172747 | Q4 | UK Q3 Late over |
6–41 |
 MORG @  OHIO2024 · Week 3 |
OHIO -24.5 | 45.5 | 17202727 | U | MORG Q1 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 2 |
USA -1.5 | 55.5 | 3274147 | U | OHIO Q1 | 20–27 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SYR -17.5 | 45.5 | 6264760 | Q3 | OHIO Q1 | 22–38 |
JXST
M-OH
BALL
TOL
EMU
KENT
BUFF
CMU
AKR
UK
USA
SYRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 29% 4
Q2 14% 2
Q3 29% 4
Q4 29% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 64% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 69% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.