When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Iowa State · pick one to list those games
57% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 63% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 29% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Iowa State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ISU -1.5 | 51.5 | 17345564 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ISU -2.5 | 51.5 | 14384550 | U | ISU Q2 | 21–29 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 42.5 | 10303759 | Q4 | UTAH Q4 Lead lost |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ISU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14203051 | U | ISU Q3 Late cover flip |
17–34 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ISU -2.5 | 50.5 | 21445881 | Q3 | KU Q1 | 36–45 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ISU -14.5 | 55.5 | 13233045 | U | TTU Q1 | 23–22 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ISU -13.5 | 49.5 | 21355573 | Q3 | UCF Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 7242444 | U | ISU Q2 | 28–16 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ISU -12.5 | 45.5 | 10335464 | Q3 | ISU Q4 | 21–43 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ISU -16.5 | 42.5 | 331020 | U | ISU Q4 | 20–0 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ISU -18.5 | 52.5 | 14313859 | Q4 | ISU Q2 Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 2 |
IOWA -2.5 | 36.5 | 7133339 | Q4 | ISU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
20–19 |
 UND @  ISU2024 · Week 1 |
ISU -30.5 | 51.5 | 7171724 | U | UND Q1 | 3–21 |
MIA
ASU
KSU
UTAH
CIN
KU
TTU
UCF
WVU
BAY
HOU
ARST
IOWAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 6
Q2 21% 3
Q3 7% 1
Q4 29% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 79% and covered 71% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.