When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Georgia · pick one to list those games
43% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 7% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Georgia · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
ND -1.5 | 46.5 | 0163033 | U | ND Q2 | 23–10 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 39193241 | U | UGA Q3 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UGA -42.5 | 55.5 | 14426680 | Q3 | MASS Q1 | 21–59 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UGA -7.5 | 46.5 | 10344148 | Q4 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
17–31 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UGA -1.5 | 54.5 | 17233238 | U | MISS Q1 | 10–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UGA -14.5 | 52.5 | 3193354 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
20–34 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TEX -4.5 | 56.5 | 7233845 | U | UGA Q1 | 30–15 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UGA -34.5 | 54.5 | 13375872 | Q3 | MSST Q1 | 31–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UGA -21.5 | 49.5 | 10173144 | U | AUB Q1 | 13–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UGA -1.5 | 50.5 | 21374875 | Q4 | ALA Q1 | 34–41 |
2024 · Week 3 |
UGA -21.5 | 44.5 | 391525 | U | UK Q1 | 13–12 |
 TNTC @  UGA2024 · Week 2 |
UGA -54.5 | 68.5 | 14244551 | U | TNTC Q1 | 3–48 |
2024 · Week 1 |
UGA -10.5 | 49.5 | 062337 | U | UGA Q3 | 3–34 |
ND
TEX
GT
MASS
TENN
MISS
FLA
MSST
AUB
ALA
UK
CLEMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 71% 10
Q2 7% 1
Q3 14% 2
Q4 7% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 64% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 17% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.