When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Clemson · pick one to list those games
43% went over. Of the 6 overs, 33% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Clemson · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 49.5 | 14384862 | Q4 | TEX Q2 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 15 |
SMU -2.5 | 56.5 | 28314565 | Q4 | CLEM Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 0142131 | U | SC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
 CIT @  CLEM2024 · Week 13 |
CLEM -48.5 | 58.5 | 14355265 | Q4 | CIT Q1 | 14–51 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CLEM -12.5 | 50.5 | 14242444 | U | PITT Q1 | 24–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CLEM -6.5 | 54.5 | 072138 | U | CLEM Q3 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CLEM -11.5 | 62.5 | 10243354 | U | LOU Q1 | 33–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CLEM -20.5 | 56.5 | 6274879 | Q4 | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–48 |
2024 · Week 7 |
CLEM -21.5 | 63.5 | 7425663 | U | CLEM Q3 | 49–14 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CLEM -16.5 | 46.5 | 17303042 | U | FSU Q2 | 29–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CLEM -23.5 | 57.5 | 10243454 | U | CLEM Q4 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CLEM -17.5 | 44.5 | 28527394 | Q2 | CLEM Q1 | 35–59 |
2024 · Week 2 |
CLEM -13.5 | 53.5 | 35698686 | Q2 | CLEM Q1 | 20–66 |
2024 · Week 1 |
UGA -10.5 | 49.5 | 062337 | U | UGA Q3 | 3–34 |
TEX
SMU
SC
PITT
VT
LOU
UVA
WAKE
FSU
STAN
NCSU
APP
UGAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 6
Q2 14% 2
Q3 21% 3
Q4 21% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 93% and covered 64% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.