When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2023 · Oregon · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 20% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.
All 14 games
2023 · Oregon · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
ORE -18.5 | 71 | 9374451 | U | ORE Q2 | 6–45 |
2023 · Week 14 |
ORE -10 | 65 | 10304465 | P | WASH Q1 | 31–34 |
2023 · Week 13 |
ORE -14 | 61.5 | 7283138 | U | ORE Q3 | 7–31 |
2023 · Week 12 |
ORE -24.5 | 54.5 | 21424562 | Q4 | ORE Q2 | 49–13 |
2023 · Week 11 |
ORE -17 | 78 | 20364363 | U | USC Q1 | 27–36 |
2023 · Week 10 |
ORE -26.5 | 61 | 24486182 | Q4 | ORE Q4 | 19–63 |
2023 · Week 9 |
ORE -6.5 | 47 | 17274141 | U | ORE Q1 | 35–6 |
2023 · Week 8 |
ORE -19.5 | 60.5 | 6304762 | Q4 | WSU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
24–38 |
2023 · Week 7 |
WASH -3.5 | 68.5 | 22405569 | Q4 | ORE Q3 Late over Lead lost |
33–36 |
2023 · Week 5 |
ORE -27 | 59.5 | 3204148 | U | ORE Q3 | 42–6 |
2023 · Week 4 |
ORE -21.5 | 70.5 | 13354248 | U | ORE Q2 | 6–42 |
2023 · Week 3 |
ORE -37.5 | 67.5 | 24375165 | U | ORE Q3 | 10–55 |
2023 · Week 2 |
ORE -4.5 | 70 | 22314568 | U | ORE Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
38–30 |
 PRST @  ORE2023 · Week 1 |
ORE -48 | 65.5 | 29577488 | Q3 | ORE Q3 | 7–81 |
LIB
WASH
ORST
ASU
USC
CAL
UTAH
WSU
STAN
COLO
HAW
TTUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 29% 4
Q2 21% 3
Q3 36% 5
Q4 14% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 79% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 64% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.