1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. UAPB @ TA&M
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Texas A&M Aggies

Reed Arena · at Texas A&M
#363UAPBAR-Pine Bluff
@
#28TA&MTexas A&M
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UAPBThis seasonTA&M
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TA&M 98–62 · win probability TA&M 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 160.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TA&M has more of the edges

UAPB 0, TA&M 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TA&MBig
TA&M offense vs UAPB defense
Offense 20th of 366 against a defense 365th, on the model’s ratings
TA&MBig
UAPB offense vs TA&M defense
Offense 337th of 366 against a defense 62nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UAPB has played the 300th-hardest schedule, TA&M the 57th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TA&MBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UAPB 18.7%, TA&M 14.7%. Forced: UAPB 16.4%, TA&M 18.4%
TA&MBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UAPB 50.0 and allows 52.6; TA&M 53.8 and allows 50.7
TA&MSmall
Three-pointers
UAPB hits 33.6% and allows 33.2%; TA&M hits 35.9% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 37.1% and 46.2% of their shots
TA&MSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UAPB 27.9%, TA&M 32.0%. Defensive: UAPB 65.8%, TA&M 67.0%
TA&MSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UAPB 38.4, TA&M 37.1. Allowed: UAPB 43.6, TA&M 35.4
TA&MSmall
Home court
TA&M at home. This season: TA&M 0-0 at home, UAPB 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UAPB 8%, TA&M 25%. Transfers in: UAPB 3, TA&M 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: UAPB plays 71.5 a game (53rd fastest), TA&M 73.5 (15th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TA&M -35.5—
Total—160.3—
Projected score—UAPB 62.4 · TA&M 97.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTA&M -21.0—
1H total74.9—
1H projected scoreUAPB 26.9 · TA&M 47.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas A&M has the better starters

Position by position: AR-Pine Bluff 0, Texas A&M 1, even 4
AR-Pine BluffBetterTexas A&M
G J. Tatum TR7.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 25
TA&MBig
G P. Haggerty TR23.4 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 98
G J. Hayes4.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Pope TR13.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 78
G D. Giddens TR3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Archie TR14.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast Score 91
G H. Pickett0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Walls TR7.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1 ast Score 37
F C. Smith TR0.6 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Shelley TR13.9 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 76
AR-Pine BluffBetterTexas A&M
UAPB offense337th of 366 · -11.1
TA&MBig
TA&M defense62nd of 366 · +1.2
UAPB defense365th of 366 · -12.7
TA&MBig
TA&M offense20th of 366 · +7.7
Backcourt-5.1 · 4 players
TA&MBig
Backcourt+8.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.7 · 1 player
TA&MSmall
Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUAPB betterTA&M betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
AR-Pine Bluff
Guards
J. Tatum27 min · TRJ. Hayes15 minD. Giddens9 min · TRH. Pickett1 minD. CapriottiNewE. HernandezNew
Forwards
C. Smith7 min · TRC. WilliamsonNewM. WilliamsNewJ. NyakundiNew
Texas A&M
Guards
P. Haggerty35 min · TRJ. Pope29 min · TRT. Archie26 min · TRL. Walls24 min · TRJ. Reece24 min · TRJ. Green5 min
Forwards
J. Shelley32 min · TRM. Mgbako19 minZ. Clemence17 minC. Phillips17 min · TRJ. Vinson7 minC. McDermott4 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UAPBTA&M
Scoring
74.0 #195Points per game86.1 #12
1.04 #277Points per possession1.17 #43
71.5 #53Pace (possessions)73.5 #15
Shooting
50.0 #233Effective FG%53.8 #71
33.6 #1903-point %35.9 #63
37.1 #2273-point attempt rate46.2 #42
38.4 #91Free throw rate37.1 #128
Possessions
18.7 #310Turnover rate14.7 #48
27.9 #271Offensive rebound rate32.0 #122
14.1 #136Assists per game17.8 #11
Defense
81.9 #340Points allowed78.9 #296
1.14 #309Points allowed per possession1.08 #151
52.6 #249Opponent effective FG%50.7 #141
33.2 #136Opponent 3-point %31.8 #53
16.4 #192Turnovers forced18.4 #81
65.8 #321Defensive rebound rate67.0 #300
6.8 #142Steals per game8.1 #34
2.9 #244Blocks per game3.1 #210
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

AR-Pine Bluff

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Southern81–84
  • W@ Alcorn St83–48
  • L@ Jackson St78–81
  • Lvs Miss Valley St69–70
  • Wvs Prairie View84–82

A week or more of rest.

Texas A&M

22-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Houston57–88
  • Wvs Saint Mary's63–50
  • Lvs Oklahoma63–83
  • W@ LSU94–91
  • Wvs Kentucky96–85

A week or more of rest.