Harrah's Cherokee Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ETSU -2.5✓ WCU covered by 0.5
ETSU -2.5✓ WCU covered by 0.5Closing total145.5Under by 9.5
 WCU | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-15 | Record | 20-10 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 14-16 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 17-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WCU 73–78 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 38 | 29 | 67 |
| ETSU | 24 | 45 | 69 |
1st half: WCU 38, ETSU 24 (WCU by 14). The model had ETSU by 2.7 and a total of 70.7 (actual 62).
Team stats
| WCU | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 38% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 29 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahlan Pettway G | 36 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 31 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Marcus Kell F | 31 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-6 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 28 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Samuel Dada F | 27 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julien Soumaoro G | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Titian DeRosa, Fischer Brown, Max Williams, CJ Hyland, Drew Hollifield, Vernon Collins Jr., Chase McKey
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 40 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 8-16 | 4-9 |
| Blake Barkley F | 31 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 29 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Cam Morris III F | 22 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Allen Strothers G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 36 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Maki Johnson G | 21 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Henry Sisemore, Joseph Carter, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Maddox Huff, Brayden Crump, Gabe Sisk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -2.5
ModelETSU -4.8
Model edgeETSU +2.3
L WCU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model151.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
L Under
Projected score
WCU 73.2 · ETSU 77.9
WCU 67 · ETSU 69
Win probability
ETSU 66%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -2.7
WCU -14.0
Total
70.7
62 points
Projected score
WCU 34 · ETSU 36.7
WCU 38 · ETSU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -2.5
no move
CloseETSU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 6
Close145.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
WCU +136 · ETSU -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -2.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -5
model ETSU -5
Opened 151.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 6 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| ETSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
WCU 9–2 ETSUWCU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · WCU has won the last 3 meetings · WCU 8-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | WCU 90 @ ETSU 88 | ETSU -9.5 | WCU W |
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | ETSU 68 @ WCU 72 | WCU +6.5 | WCU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ETSU 67 @ WCU 76 | WCU +10.5 | WCU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | WCU 58 @ ETSU 85 | ETSU -14.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ETSU 65 @ WCU 70 | WCU -7.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Carolina
28 games played
Straight up
13-15
46% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | @ MER | L 76-88 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs VMI | W 88-58 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 29 | @ETSU | W 90-88 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | vsSAM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNCG | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @WOF | L 66-77 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vsCIT | W 87-49 | -9.5 | W +28.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | @UTC | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 18 | vsUNCG | W 91-77 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @VMI | W 81-62 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 25 | vsMER | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 28 | vsFUR | W 86-67 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 7 | vsMER | W 77-73 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
−3.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
+21.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+11.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 74-88
−12.5
4
@UNCG
UNCGL 78-81
−4.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 66-77
−7.5
11
vsCIT
CITW 87-49
+28.5
14
@UTC
UTCW 81-76
+6.5
18
vsUNCG
UNCGW 91-77
+8.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 81-62
+10.5
25
vsMER
MERW 78-74
+5.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 86-67
+20.5
7
vsMER
MERW 77-73
+5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
−6.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+32.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 74-88
+7.5
4
@UNCG
UNCGL 78-81
+3.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 66-77
−11.5
11
vsCIT
CITW 87-49
−9.5
14
@UTC
UTCW 81-76
+5.5
18
vsUNCG
UNCGW 91-77
+12.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 81-62
−11.5
25
vsMER
MERW 78-74
−4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 86-67
+5.5
7
vsMER
MERW 77-73
−4.5
over 15under 13avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsMER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsVMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @WCU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @SAM | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @UTC | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsCIT | W 84-55 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWCU | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | @WOF | W 86-72 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vsFUR | W 75-71 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | @VMI | W 87-70 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 11 | vsUTC | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsSAM | L 72-82 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | @FUR | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 21 | @UNCG | W 87-75 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 25 | vsWOF | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @MER | L 76-82 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 7 | vsCIT | W 83-76 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−10.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
−2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−3.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
+11.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
−11.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+12.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
−1.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+2.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
−17.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+10.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+5.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−9.5
28
@MER
MERL 76-82
−4.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 83-76
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−7.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
+2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−10.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
−2.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
+32.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+11.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
+4.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+13.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
−11.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
+8.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+6.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+13.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−8.5
28
@MER
MERL 76-82
+8.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 83-76
+19.5
over 17under 13avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Carolina
13-15 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercer77–73
- Wvs Furman86–67
- Wvs Mercer78–74
- W@ VMI81–62
- Wvs UNC Greensboro91–77
1 day since their last game.
ETSU
20-10 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel83–76
- L@ Mercer76–82
- Lvs Wofford69–72
- W@ UNC Greensboro87–75
- W@ Furman78–69
1 day since their last game.