Madison Square Garden · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CONN -14.5✓ CONN covered by 1.5
CONN -14.5✓ CONN covered by 1.5Closing total138.5Under by 20.5
 GTWN | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 16-17 | Record | 28-4 |
| 14-19 | ATS | 11-21 |
| 18-15 | O/U | 17-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GTWN 65–78 CONN · ✓ CONN (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GTWN | 21 | 30 | 51 |
| CONN | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: GTWN 21, CONN 32 (CONN by 11). The model had CONN by 7.5 and a total of 66.8 (actual 53).
Team stats
| GTWN | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-50 38% | Field goals | 28-59 47% |
| 2-16 13% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 3-4 75% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 21 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams F | 33 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Malik Mack G | 31 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Jeremiah Williams G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kayvaun Mulready G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Vince Iwuchukwu C | 26 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Langston Love G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Fort F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason Moses G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Van Raaphorst G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Seal Diouf C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabriel Landeira, Hashem Asadallah, KJ Lewis, Austin Montgomery, DeShawn Harris-Smith
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 35 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 33 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 8-17 | 2-9 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 33 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 23 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Solo Ball G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 25 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Eric Reibe C | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Malachi Smith G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Alec Millender G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uros Paunovic, Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Ross, Jaylin Stewart
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -14.5
ModelCONN -12.7
Model edgeGTWN +1.8
L CONN covered
Total
Market138.5
Model142.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
L Under
Projected score
GTWN 64.9 · CONN 77.7
GTWN 51 · CONN 67
Win probability
CONN 87%
1st half
Spread
CONN -7.5
CONN -11.0
Total
66.8
53 points
Projected score
GTWN 29.6 · CONN 37.1
GTWN 21 · CONN 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -13.5
1 → CONN
CloseCONN -14.5
1 pt toward CONN
Total
Open140.5
▼ 2
Close138.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
GTWN +625 · CONN -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -13.5 · closed CONN -14.5 · moved 1 toward CONNmodel CONN -12.5
model CONN -12.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GTWN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| CONN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
GTWN 0–10 CONNCONN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CONN has won the last 10 meetings · GTWN 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | GTWN 75 @ CONN 79 | CONN -16.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | CONN 64 @ GTWN 62 | GTWN +11.5 | GTWN W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | GTWN 79 @ CONN 93 | CONN -14.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CONN 68 @ GTWN 60 | GTWN +5.5 | CONN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CONN 89 @ GTWN 64 | GTWN +16.5 | CONN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgetown
33 games played
Straight up
16-17
48% wins
Against the spread
14-19
42% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MORG | W 87-70 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | @ MD | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs BING | W 83-70 | -27.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLEM | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | vs WAG | W 92-75 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 27 | vs DAY | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs MIA | L 65-78 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs UMBC | W 90-81 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNC | L 61-81 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs SPU | W 76-68 | -20.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 17 | @ MARQ | W 78-69 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | vs XAV | L 77-80 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 22 | vs COPP | W 97-67 | -33.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | vs SJU | L 83-95 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ DEP | L 50-56 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | vs HALL | L 67-76 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 13 | @ CREI | L 83-86 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsCONN | L 62-64 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 21 | @ VILL | L 51-66 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ PROV | W 81-78 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEP | W 70-61 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | @ BTLR | W 77-64 | +5.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsCREI | W 76-68 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | vsVILL | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @CONN | L 75-79 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | vsBTLR | L 89-93 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | @HALL | L 47-51 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | U 98 |
| Feb 24 | vsMARQ | L 60-76 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | @XAV | L 84-91 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 3 | @SJU | L 69-72 | +15.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 7 | vsPROV | W 80-79 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 11 | vsDEP | W 63-56 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 12 | vsVILL | W 78-64 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
−10.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
+14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
−14.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+6.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
−8.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
−3.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−7.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
−10.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−9.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
−12.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
+15.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
−7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
−3.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
−3.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−3.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
−7.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+5.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
+9.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−6.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
+8.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
+5.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
+18.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
+6.5
7
vsVILL
VILLL 73-80
−4.5
14
@CONN
CONNL 75-79
+12.5
18
vsBTLR
BTLRL 89-93
−10.5
21
@HALL
HALLL 47-51
+2.5
24
vsMARQ
MARQL 60-76
−18.5
28
@XAV
XAVL 84-91
−2.5
3
@SJU
SJUL 69-72
+12.5
7
vsPROV
PROVW 80-79
−0.5
11
vsDEP
DEPW 63-56
+5.5
12
vsVILL
VILLW 78-64
+21.5
covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
+2.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
−14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
+11.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+10.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
+26.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
+17.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−8.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
+21.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−7.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
+3.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
−2.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
+7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
+13.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
+25.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−38.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
+5.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+21.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
−15.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−25.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
−0.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
−8.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
−8.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
−2.5
7
vsVILL
VILLL 73-80
+12.5
14
@CONN
CONNL 75-79
+15.5
18
vsBTLR
BTLRL 89-93
+34.5
21
@HALL
HALLL 47-51
−38.5
24
vsMARQ
MARQL 60-76
−14.5
28
@XAV
XAVL 84-91
+19.5
3
@SJU
SJUL 69-72
−7.5
7
vsPROV
PROVW 80-79
+0.5
11
vsDEP
DEPW 63-56
−17.5
12
vsVILL
VILLW 78-64
+1.5
over 18under 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
32 games played
Straight up
28-4
88% wins
Against the spread
11-21
34% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-15
53% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vsBTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @DEP | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @XAV | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | vsMARQ | W 73-57 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @PROV | W 103-98 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEP | W 72-60 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @HALL | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GTWN | W 64-62 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vsVILL | W 75-67 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsPROV | W 87-81 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 31 | @CREI | W 85-58 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 3 | vsXAV | W 92-60 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 6 | @SJU | L 72-81 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 11 | @BTLR | W 80-70 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | vsGTWN | W 79-75 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | vsCREI | L 84-91 | -15.5 | L −22.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 21 | @VILL | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsSJU | W 72-40 | -5.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsHALL | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 7 | @MARQ | L 62-68 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 12 | vsXAV | W 93-68 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
+5.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−1.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
−4.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−7.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
−1.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−9.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
−3.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
−9.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+20.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+15.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 72-81
−10.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRW 80-70
−1.5
14
vsGTWN
GTWNW 79-75
−12.5
18
vsCREI
CREIL 84-91
−22.5
21
@VILL
VILLW 73-63
+6.5
25
vsSJU
SJUW 72-40
+26.5
28
vsHALL
HALLW 71-67
−8.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 62-68
−15.5
12
vsXAV
XAVW 93-68
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 21avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
−7.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+12.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−14.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
+48.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−5.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
+0.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−15.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
+4.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
+15.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+0.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 72-81
+9.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRW 80-70
+6.5
14
vsGTWN
GTWNW 79-75
+15.5
18
vsCREI
CREIL 84-91
+31.5
21
@VILL
VILLW 73-63
−5.5
25
vsSJU
SJUW 72-40
−33.5
28
vsHALL
HALLW 71-67
+7.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 62-68
−13.5
12
vsXAV
XAVW 93-68
+10.5
over 17under 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgetown
16-17 overall · 8-14 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Villanova78–64
- Wvs DePaul63–56
- Wvs Providence80–79
- L@ St John's69–72
- L@ Xavier84–91
1 day since their last game.
UConn
28-4 overall · 18-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Xavier93–68
- L@ Marquette62–68
- Wvs Seton Hall71–67
- Wvs St John's72–40
- W@ Villanova73–63
1 day since their last game.