PPG Paints Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
RICH -4.5✓ LUC covered by 12.5
Closing total141.5Over by 0.5
| This season | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-23 | Record | 14-16 |
| 11-20 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 14-17 | O/U | 13-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LUC 70–76 RICH · ✗ RICH (69%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUC | 32 | 43 | 75 |
| RICH | 38 | 29 | 67 |
1st half: LUC 32, RICH 38 (RICH by 6). The model had RICH by 3.2 and a total of 68.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| LUC | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-43 53% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 36 6 off | Rebounds | 25 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayde Dotson G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Xavier Amos F | 33 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Miles Rubin C | 30 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Alexander Richardson C | 19 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 33 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 7-8 | 4-5 |
| Nic Anderson G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniil Glazkov G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Caleb Reese, Dominick Harris, Zachary Royster, Brayden Young, Sam Yurasek, Chuck Love III, Kymany Houinsou, Justin Moore
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-9 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Mike Walz C | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| AJ Lopez G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Collin Tanner G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Will Harper III G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Homenick, Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney, David Thomas, Apostolos Roumoglou
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -4.5
ModelRICH -5.6
Model edgeRICH +1.1
L LUC covered
Total
Market141.5
Model145.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
W Over
Projected score
LUC 69.9 · RICH 75.5
LUC 75 · RICH 67
Win probability
RICH 69%
1st half
Spread
RICH -3.2
RICH -6.0
Total
68.1
70 points
Projected score
LUC 32.4 · RICH 35.6
LUC 32 · RICH 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -5.5
1 → LUC
CloseRICH -4.5
1 pt toward LUC
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LUC +170 · RICH -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -5.5 · closed RICH -4.5 · moved 1 toward LUCmodel RICH -5.5
model RICH -5.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LUC 2–2 RICHSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · LUC has won the last 2 meetings · LUC 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | RICH 66 @ LUC 69 | LUC +2.5 | LUC W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | LUC 87 @ RICH 80 | RICH +4.5 | LUC W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | RICH 58 @ LUC 56 | LUC -2.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | LUC 71 @ RICH 74 | RICH -7.5 | LUC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola Chicago
31 games played
Straight up
8-23
26% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 71-85 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 80-78 | +15.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 61-57 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 68-70 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 66-101 | +14.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 74-82 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 16 | @ | L 51-78 | +16.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 70-84 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 59-71 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 27 | vs | L 64-85 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 30 | @ | L 75-89 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 71-61 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | @ | L 64-84 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs | L 59-86 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 59-62 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 61-75 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 69-66 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 65-79 | +21.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 68-62 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CLE
W 91-88
−14.5
6
vs
MERC
L 65-73
−29.5
9
vs
UNT
L 62-64
−3.5
13
@
WICH
L 74-95
−15.5
16
vs
CSU
L 67-80
−9.5
21
vs
NIU
L 59-76
−30.5
25
vs
UNI
L 51-72
−12.5
26
vs
SJSU
L 51-63
−10.5
2
vs
CMU
W 83-72
+4.5
6
vs
PRIN
W 73-68
−1.5
14
vs
CHST
L 75-84
−24.5
17
@
SF
L 71-85
−2.5
20
vs
SCU
W 80-78
+17.5
31
@
URI
W 61-57
+13.5
3
vs
DAY
L 68-70
+5.5
7
vs
DAV
L 64-79
−13.5
10
@
GW
L 66-101
−20.5
13
vs
GMU
L 74-82
+3.5
16
@
DAY
L 51-78
−10.5
20
@
SBU
L 70-84
−3.5
24
vs
DUQ
L 59-71
−6.5
27
vs
JOES
L 64-85
−19.5
30
@
VCU
L 75-89
+4.5
3
vs
LAS
W 71-61
+7.5
6
@
DAV
L 64-84
−10.5
13
vs
SLU
L 59-86
−9.5
18
@
FOR
L 59-62
+5.5
21
@
JOES
L 61-75
−4.5
28
vs
RICH
W 69-66
+5.5
4
@
SLU
L 65-79
+7.5
7
vs
GW
W 68-62
+15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CLE
W 91-88
+27.5
6
vs
MERC
L 65-73
−6.5
9
vs
UNT
L 62-64
−12.5
13
@
WICH
L 74-95
+15.5
16
vs
CSU
L 67-80
−4.5
21
vs
NIU
L 59-76
−13.5
25
vs
UNI
L 51-72
−11.5
26
vs
SJSU
L 51-63
−22.5
2
vs
CMU
W 83-72
+14.5
6
vs
PRIN
W 73-68
+4.5
14
vs
CHST
L 75-84
+18.5
17
@
SF
L 71-85
+12.5
20
vs
SCU
W 80-78
+6.5
31
@
URI
W 61-57
−27.5
3
vs
DAY
L 68-70
−2.5
7
vs
DAV
L 64-79
+6.5
10
@
GW
L 66-101
+12.5
13
vs
GMU
L 74-82
+15.5
16
@
DAY
L 51-78
−12.5
20
@
SBU
L 70-84
+6.5
24
vs
DUQ
L 59-71
−22.5
27
vs
JOES
L 64-85
+5.5
30
@
VCU
L 75-89
+13.5
3
vs
LAS
W 71-61
−8.5
6
@
DAV
L 64-84
+7.5
13
vs
SLU
L 59-86
−10.5
18
@
FOR
L 59-62
−14.5
21
@
JOES
L 61-75
−6.5
28
vs
RICH
W 69-66
−11.5
4
@
SLU
L 65-79
−11.5
7
vs
GW
W 68-62
−18.5
over 14under 17avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @ | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vs | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vs | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 69-85 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 69-77 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 54-79 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 77-82 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 10 | vs | W 82-70 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 67-78 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 63-65 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 99-94 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 66-69 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 3 | vs | L 60-65 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 77-79 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ECU
W 87-72
+9.5
11
vs
W&M
W 90-86
−5.5
19
vs
VMI
W 87-54
+18.5
22
vs
GWEB
W 102-67
+15.5
27
vs
FUR
L 72-73
−4.5
28
vs
CLT
W 71-66
−1.5
3
@
BEL
W 84-76
+14.5
6
vs
ODU
W 86-77
−3.5
13
vs
SIU
W 93-84
+5.5
17
@
ELON
L 70-73
−6.5
20
vs
CIT
W 80-56
+5.5
28
vs
CHSO
L 72-77
−16.5
31
vs
GW
L 85-99
−11.5
4
@
FOR
W 83-75
+5.5
7
@
SBU
W 89-80
+15.5
11
vs
JOES
L 65-67
−9.5
14
vs
LAS
W 74-53
+12.5
17
@
SLU
L 63-88
−10.5
21
vs
URI
L 68-69
−4.5
24
@
GW
L 69-85
−5.5
27
@
VCU
L 69-77
+4.5
31
vs
DAV
L 54-79
−26.5
7
@
URI
L 77-82
+0.5
10
vs
GMU
W 82-70
+15.5
14
vs
VCU
L 67-78
−3.5
18
@
DAV
L 63-65
+3.5
21
vs
SBU
W 99-94
+3.5
28
@
LUC
L 66-69
−5.5
3
vs
DAY
L 60-65
+0.5
7
@
DUQ
L 77-79
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
ECU
W 87-72
+15.5
11
vs
W&M
W 90-86
+11.5
19
vs
VMI
W 87-54
−11.5
22
vs
GWEB
W 102-67
+14.5
27
vs
FUR
L 72-73
−2.5
28
vs
CLT
W 71-66
−4.5
3
@
BEL
W 84-76
+3.5
6
vs
ODU
W 86-77
+9.5
13
vs
SIU
W 93-84
+23.5
17
@
ELON
L 70-73
−18.5
20
vs
CIT
W 80-56
−10.5
28
vs
CHSO
L 72-77
−10.5
31
vs
GW
L 85-99
+21.5
4
@
FOR
W 83-75
+15.5
7
@
SBU
W 89-80
+15.5
11
vs
JOES
L 65-67
−18.5
14
vs
LAS
W 74-53
−20.5
17
@
SLU
L 63-88
−11.5
21
vs
URI
L 68-69
−7.5
24
@
GW
L 69-85
−5.5
27
@
VCU
L 69-77
−9.5
31
vs
DAV
L 54-79
−7.5
7
@
URI
L 77-82
+16.5
10
vs
GMU
W 82-70
+12.5
14
vs
VCU
L 67-78
−9.5
18
@
DAV
L 63-65
−13.5
21
vs
SBU
W 99-94
+45.5
28
@
LUC
L 66-69
−11.5
3
vs
DAY
L 60-65
−19.5
7
@
DUQ
L 77-79
+8.5
over 13under 17avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola Chicago
8-23 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington68–62
- L@ Saint Louis65–79
- Wvs Richmond69–66
- L@ Saint Joseph's61–75
- L@ Fordham59–62
4 days since their last game.
Richmond
14-16 overall · 5-13 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duquesne77–79
- Lvs Dayton60–65
- L@ Loyola Chicago66–69
- Wvs St Bonaventure99–94
- L@ Davidson63–65
4 days since their last game.