GSU Convocation Center · at Georgia St
Closing line
GAST -4.5✓ NIU covered by 5.5
GAST -4.5✓ NIU covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Over by 5.5
 NIU | This season | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| 5-14 | Record | 7-15 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 6-13 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 69–75 GAST · ✗ GAST (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| GAST | 37 | 37 | 74 |
1st half: NIU 35, GAST 37 (GAST by 2). The model had GAST by 3.3 and a total of 67.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NIU | GAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 24-33 73% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ducommun G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Taj Walters G | 32 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 32 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 7-9 | 5-6 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 26 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-3 |
| Hassan Washington F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gustav Winther F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Washington G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Ladji Kante F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stewart G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Jao Ituka, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor
| GAST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Tucker G | 31 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Jelani Hamilton G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Joah Chappelle F | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Malachi Brown G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Anthony Enoh F | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Beam C | 21 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ayouba Berthe G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jakai Newton G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trey Scott F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: James Cooper, Chris Jones, Isaiah Sherrard, Kwame Tanic, Clash Peters, Manos Koveos
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGAST -4.5
ModelGAST -5.7
Model edgeGAST +1.2
L NIU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
L Over
Projected score
NIU 68.7 · GAST 74.5
NIU 75 · GAST 74
Win probability
GAST 69%
1st half
Spread
GAST -3.3
GAST -2.0
Total
67.0
72 points
Projected score
NIU 31.9 · GAST 35.2
NIU 35 · GAST 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGAST -5.5
1 → NIU
CloseGAST -4.5
1 pt toward NIU
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NIU +170 · GAST -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GAST -5.5 · closed GAST -4.5 · moved 1 toward NIUmodel GAST -5.5
model GAST -5.5
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| GAST | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NIU 1–0 GASTNIU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NIU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023-24 | NIU 70 @ GAST 64 | GAST -5.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @ EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs MASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @ BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vs WMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | @ M-OH | L 61-85 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−12.5
over 6under 13avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia St
22 games played
Straight up
7-15
32% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @EMU | L 49-71 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 7 | @ CIN | L 64-74 | +29.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs PRES | L 61-63 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 17 | @ ASU | L 62-75 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ SDST | L 58-105 | +12.5 | L −34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs SAM | L 63-78 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs NMSU | L 58-77 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ MER | L 67-78 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ KENN | L 69-92 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vs JXST | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 18 | @ GASO | L 67-90 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ APP | W 70-63 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ MRSH | L 80-84 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ CCU | W 89-71 | +6.5 | W +24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsAPP | L 50-52 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | vsMRSH | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ULM | W 77-57 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | vs USM | W 69-62 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vs ARST | W 82-81 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 29 | @ UL | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | @ USA | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | vs TROY | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−18.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
+19.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−5.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
−34.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−9.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−6.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−0.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
−8.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+7.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−13.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
+14.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+9.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+24.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−0.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+12.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
+13.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
+5.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
−11.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
+3.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−29.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
−13.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−17.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
−8.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
+19.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−5.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−1.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−10.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
+2.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+10.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−2.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
−4.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+12.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+11.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−38.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+0.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
−21.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
−13.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
+24.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
−4.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−7.5
over 8under 14avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
5-14 overall · 3-7 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH61–85
- Wvs W Michigan85–65
- L@ Ball State53–58
- L@ Ohio77–80
- Wvs UMass70–68
A week or more of rest.
Georgia St
7-15 overall · 6-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Troy63–74
- L@ South Alabama67–69
- L@ Louisiana72–82
- Wvs Arkansas St82–81
- Wvs Southern Miss69–62
3 days since their last game.