Viejas Arena · at San Diego St · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -9.5✓ SDSU covered by 13.5
SDSU -9.5✓ SDSU covered by 13.5Closing total139.5Under by 16.5
 CSU | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 13-5 |
| 12-7 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 69–76 SDSU · ✓ SDSU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| SDSU | 33 | 40 | 73 |
1st half: CSU 27, SDSU 33 (SDSU by 6). The model had SDSU by 4.5 and a total of 67.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| CSU | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-48 33% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 6-13 46% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 24 11 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 30 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 27 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Jase Butler G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jevin Muniz G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jojo McIver G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carey Booth F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Charlie Dortch, Docker Tedeschi
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 7-9 | 2-2 |
| BJ Davis G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Miles Byrd G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Miles Heide F | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 18 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Thokbor Majak F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Lawin G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Raymar Gonzales G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elzie Harrington, Latrell Davis, Magoon Gwath
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -9.5
ModelSDSU -7.8
Model edgeCSU +1.7
L SDSU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
L Under
Projected score
CSU 68.5 · SDSU 76.3
CSU 50 · SDSU 73
Win probability
SDSU 75%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -4.5
SDSU -6.0
Total
67.8
60 points
Projected score
CSU 31.6 · SDSU 36.2
CSU 27 · SDSU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -9.5
no move
CloseSDSU -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSU +350 · SDSU -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -9.5 · unchangedmodel SDSU -8
model SDSU -8
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| SDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CSU 3–7 SDSUSDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CSU 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SDSU 63 @ CSU 68 | CSU -2.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | CSU 60 @ SDSU 75 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | CSU 55 @ SDSU 71 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | SDSU 71 @ CSU 79 | CSU -2.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | CSU 61 vs SDSU 64 | SDSU -9.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs UNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vs UNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @ BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs AF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsUSU | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
−23.5
over 10under 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsAF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsBOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsFRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
over 9under 9avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
11-8 overall · 3-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah State61–65
- Wvs Air Force81–52
- L@ Boise St73–79
- L@ Fresno St69–79
- Wvs UNLV70–62
5 days since their last game.
San Diego St
13-5 overall · 8-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNLV82–71
- L@ Grand Canyon69–70
- Wvs New Mexico83–79
- W@ Wyoming74–57
- Wvs Fresno St71–52
4 days since their last game.