McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -8.5✓ UNI covered by 15.5
Closing total138.5Over by 9.5
| This season | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-15 | Record | 15-10 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 16-9 | O/U | 9-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 63–71 UNI · ✓ UNI (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 29 | 33 | 62 |
| UNI | 38 | 48 | 86 |
1st half: DRKE 29, UNI 38 (UNI by 9). The model had UNI by 4.3 and a total of 62.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| DRKE | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 12-13 92% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 33 5 off |
| 10 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Shetlar G | 31 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Andrew Alia G | 27 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Okku Federiko F | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Quinn G | 30 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-5 |
| Owen Larson G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Trey Campbell G | 34 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 25 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Will Hornseth F | 18 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Smith F | 17 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| RJ Taylor G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Jacobson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chase Courbat F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Jalen Wilson, Cade Courbat, Geon Hutchins, Levi Valdo
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -8.5
ModelUNI -7.5
Model edgeDRKE +1.0
L UNI covered
Total
Market138.5
Model133.8
Model edgeUnder 4.7
L Over
Projected score
DRKE 63.2 · UNI 70.7
DRKE 62 · UNI 86
Win probability
UNI 74%
1st half
Spread
UNI -4.3
UNI -9.0
Total
62.7
67 points
Projected score
DRKE 29.2 · UNI 33.5
DRKE 29 · UNI 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -9.5
1 → DRKE
CloseUNI -8.5
1 pt toward DRKE
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +360 · UNI -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -9.5 · closed UNI -8.5 · moved 1 toward DRKEmodel UNI -7.5
model UNI -7.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 9-1 90% | |
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DRKE 6–2 UNIDRKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 2 meetings · DRKE 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | DRKE 64 @ UNI 58 | UNI -1.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | UNI 52 @ DRKE 66 | DRKE -7.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | DRKE 77 @ UNI 91 | UNI +1.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UNI 63 @ DRKE 77 | DRKE -9.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | DRKE 82 @ UNI 74 | UNI +5.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 90-103 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @ | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | vs | L 76-81 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NAU
W 77-71
−2.5
6
vs
RMU
L 79-81
−9.5
14
vs
SIUE
L 59-61
−9.5
17
@
COFC
W 71-62
+16.5
28
vs
LSU
L 62-71
+2.5
29
vs
GT
W 84-74
+14.5
2
vs
WIU
W 108-57
+33.5
5
vs
UAB
L 69-74
−6.5
13
vs
NDSU
L 94-99
−10.5
18
@
MUR
L 72-81
−1.5
21
@
EVAN
W 66-65
+3.5
29
vs
ILST
L 56-73
−12.5
4
vs
INST
W 74-72
−4.5
7
@
BRAD
L 66-93
−20.5
10
vs
BEL
L 76-78
+2.5
14
@
SIU
W 76-73
+8.5
17
@
UIC
L 67-74
−1.5
21
vs
MUR
W 101-90
+15.5
24
@
INST
W 76-62
+17.5
28
vs
EVAN
W 82-78
−4.5
31
vs
BRAD
L 73-87
−11.5
3
@
BEL
L 90-103
−3.5
6
@
ILST
L 76-86
+0.5
9
vs
VAL
L 76-81
−8.5
12
vs
UIC
L 70-80
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NAU
W 77-71
+3.5
6
vs
RMU
L 79-81
+8.5
14
vs
SIUE
L 59-61
−22.5
17
@
COFC
W 71-62
−20.5
28
vs
LSU
L 62-71
−18.5
29
vs
GT
W 84-74
+20.5
2
vs
WIU
W 108-57
+26.5
5
vs
UAB
L 69-74
−5.5
13
vs
NDSU
L 94-99
+47.5
18
@
MUR
L 72-81
−3.5
21
@
EVAN
W 66-65
−10.5
29
vs
ILST
L 56-73
−16.5
4
vs
INST
W 74-72
−3.5
7
@
BRAD
L 66-93
+14.5
10
vs
BEL
L 76-78
+5.5
14
@
SIU
W 76-73
+4.5
17
@
UIC
L 67-74
+1.5
21
vs
MUR
W 101-90
+34.5
24
@
INST
W 76-62
−13.5
28
vs
EVAN
W 82-78
+16.5
31
vs
BRAD
L 73-87
+9.5
3
@
BEL
L 90-103
+38.5
6
@
ILST
L 76-86
+17.5
9
vs
VAL
L 76-81
+12.5
12
vs
UIC
L 70-80
+3.5
over 16under 9avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 54-59 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 50-65 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 71-55 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 6 | vs | W 61-49 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | @ | W 89-60 | +4.5 | W +33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @ | L 86-91 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
CSUN
W 86-57
+19.5
9
vs
SDST
W 65-58
−3.5
14
vs
FUR
W 70-54
+6.5
18
vs
NIU
W 70-57
−6.5
22
@
UCI
W 70-69
+3.5
25
vs
LUC
W 72-51
+12.5
26
vs
TLSA
L 60-63
−5.5
6
vs
WICH
L 69-74
−6.5
13
vs
OAK
W 75-63
+3.5
17
@
UIC
W 60-54
+0.5
22
@
SMC
L 58-63
+6.5
29
vs
VAL
W 58-48
+1.5
1
vs
INST
W 75-66
−1.5
4
@
EVAN
W 62-48
+9.5
7
vs
BEL
L 65-78
−15.5
10
@
BRAD
L 69-75
−1.5
13
vs
UIC
L 61-69
−14.5
17
@
VAL
L 44-54
−11.5
21
@
ILST
L 54-59
+1.5
24
vs
MUR
W 81-76
+6.5
28
@
SIU
L 50-65
−16.5
31
vs
EVAN
W 71-55
+4.5
6
vs
BRAD
W 61-49
+8.5
9
@
MUR
W 89-60
+33.5
12
@
BEL
L 86-91
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vs
CSUN
W 86-57
−10.5
9
vs
SDST
W 65-58
−27.5
14
vs
FUR
W 70-54
−17.5
18
vs
NIU
W 70-57
−19.5
22
@
UCI
W 70-69
+0.5
25
vs
LUC
W 72-51
−11.5
26
vs
TLSA
L 60-63
−14.5
6
vs
WICH
L 69-74
+7.5
13
vs
OAK
W 75-63
−11.5
17
@
UIC
W 60-54
−19.5
22
@
SMC
L 58-63
−11.5
29
vs
VAL
W 58-48
−25.5
1
vs
INST
W 75-66
+5.5
4
@
EVAN
W 62-48
−21.5
7
vs
BEL
L 65-78
+5.5
10
@
BRAD
L 69-75
+12.5
13
vs
UIC
L 61-69
+1.5
17
@
VAL
L 44-54
−32.5
21
@
ILST
L 54-59
−19.5
24
vs
MUR
W 81-76
+11.5
28
@
SIU
L 50-65
−15.5
31
vs
EVAN
W 71-55
−2.5
6
vs
BRAD
W 61-49
−24.5
9
@
MUR
W 89-60
+3.5
12
@
BEL
L 86-91
+38.5
over 9under 16avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
10-15 overall · 6-10 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UIC70–80
- Lvs Valparaiso76–81
- L@ Illinois St76–86
- L@ Belmont90–103
- Lvs Bradley73–87
3 days since their last game.
Northern Iowa
15-10 overall · 8-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont86–91
- W@ Murray St89–60
- Wvs Bradley61–49
- Wvs Evansville71–55
- L@ S Illinois50–65
3 days since their last game.