Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 13.5
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 13.5Closing total163.5Over by 25.5
 MUR | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 16-6 | Record | 18-3 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MUR 81–84 BEL · ✓ BEL (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 40 | 46 | 86 |
| BEL | 54 | 49 | 103 |
1st half: MUR 40, BEL 54 (BEL by 14). The model had BEL by 1.9 and a total of 77.2 (actual 94).
Team stats
| MUR | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 37-66 56% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 33 16 off | Rebounds | 33 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 25 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Fredrick King C | 25 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 9-9 | 0-0 |
| Javon Jackson G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-16 | 1-7 |
| Mason Miller F | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| JJ Traynor F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roman Domon G | 30 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| KJ Tenner G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brock Vice F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler, Ben Shtolzberg
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 36 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 8-15 | 3-10 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 31 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah West G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eoin Dillon F | 27 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Jack Smiley G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 16 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 4-4 |
| Win Miller G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Keith Robbins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Orme, Nic McClain
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -3.5
ModelBEL -3.4
Model edgeMUR +0.1
L BEL covered
Total
Market163.5
Model165.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
W Over
Projected score
MUR 80.8 · BEL 84.2
MUR 86 · BEL 103
Win probability
BEL 62%
1st half
Spread
BEL -1.9
BEL -14.0
Total
77.2
94 points
Projected score
MUR 37.6 · BEL 39.5
MUR 40 · BEL 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -4.5
1 → MUR
CloseBEL -3.5
1 pt toward MUR
Total
Open166.5
▼ 3
Close163.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MUR +142 · BEL -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -4.5 · closed BEL -3.5 · moved 1 toward MURmodel BEL -3.5 matches the line
model BEL -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 downmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| BEL | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MUR 3–5 BELBEL leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 4 meetings · MUR 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | MUR 60 @ BEL 70 | BEL -2.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | BEL 95 @ MUR 77 | MUR -4.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | BEL 83 @ MUR 61 | MUR -2.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | MUR 64 @ BEL 69 | BEL -2.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | BEL 82 @ MUR 83 | MUR -1.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Murray St
22 games played
Straight up
16-6
73% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vs DRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vs SIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @ UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vs BRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @ EVAN | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsVAL | W 92-79 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs INST | W 85-81 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @DRKE | L 90-101 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNI | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | vs ILST | L 65-70 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
+1.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+0.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−7.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
−15.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
−6.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
−5.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+18.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−1.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
+34.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
+11.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−24.5
over 12under 10avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vsUIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsBRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vsSIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vsVAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vsILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
over 11under 10avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Murray St
16-6 overall · 8-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois St65–70
- L@ Northern Iowa76–81
- L@ Drake90–101
- Wvs Indiana St85–81
- Wvs Valparaiso92–79
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
18-3 overall · 9-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Valparaiso78–77
- Wvs Illinois St80–69
- W@ S Illinois73–68
- Wvs Valparaiso78–74
- W@ Drake78–76
3 days since their last game.