Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -4.5✓ DRKE covered by 2.5
BEL -4.5✓ DRKE covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 5.5
| BEL | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 13-3 | Record | 6-8 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 5-9 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 77–73 DRKE · ✓ BEL (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 25 | 53 | 78 |
| DRKE | 44 | 32 | 76 |
1st half: BEL 25, DRKE 44 (DRKE by 19). The model had BEL by 2.2 and a total of 70.1 (actual 69).
Team stats
| BEL | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-63 38% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 11-37 30% | 3-pointers | 17-38 45% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 43 16 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 14 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 40 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Isaiah West G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 25 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Sam Orme F | 20 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eoin Dillon F | 25 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Jack Smiley G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-11 | 1-9 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 12 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Aidan Noyes, Graydon Lemke, Cooper Haynes, Nic McClain, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Shetlar G | 37 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 9-13 | 8-12 |
| Andrew Alia G | 34 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Owen Larson G | 29 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Okku Federiko F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush, Wilguens Jr. Exacte
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -4.5
ModelBEL -3.4
Model edgeDRKE +1.1
W DRKE covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
W Over
Projected score
BEL 76.5 · DRKE 73.1
BEL 78 · DRKE 76
Win probability
BEL 62%
1st half
Spread
BEL -2.2
DRKE -19.0
Total
70.1
69 points
Projected score
BEL 36.1 · DRKE 33.9
BEL 25 · DRKE 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -7.5
3 → DRKE
CloseBEL -4.5
3 pts toward DRKE
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -175 · DRKE +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -7.5 · closed BEL -4.5 · moved 3 toward DRKEmodel BEL -3.5
model BEL -3.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| DRKE | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BEL 2–5 DRKEDRKE leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 3 meetings · BEL 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | BEL 50 vs DRKE 57 | DRKE -7.5 | BEL W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | BEL 46 @ DRKE 65 | DRKE -8.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | BEL 69 @ DRKE 84 | DRKE -10.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | DRKE 65 @ BEL 87 | BEL +4.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 19, 2022-23 | BEL 56 @ DRKE 70 | DRKE -6.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs BRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
over 8under 8avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs ILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vsINST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
over 6under 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
13-3 overall · 4-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northern Iowa78–65
- Lvs S Illinois67–68
- Wvs Bradley88–78
- L@ Indiana St80–81
- W@ UC Irvine84–58
3 days since their last game.
Drake
6-8 overall · 2-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bradley66–93
- Wvs Indiana St74–72
- Lvs Illinois St56–73
- W@ Evansville66–65
- L@ Murray St72–81
3 days since their last game.