Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada · Conference game
Closing line
NEV -11.5✓ FRES covered by 1.5
Closing total149.5Under by 21.5
| This season | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 16-7 |
| 14-7 | ATS | 15-8 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 68–79 NEV · ✓ NEV (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| NEV | 28 | 41 | 69 |
1st half: FRES 28, NEV 28 (tied). The model had NEV by 6.2 and a total of 68.5 (actual 56).
Team stats
| FRES | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 22-57 39% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 31 5 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 1 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Gory F | 38 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Jake Heidbreder G | 37 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-8 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 20 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaon Collins G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Faas G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jac Mani F | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, DJ Stickman, Troy Jenkins, Makhan Diouf
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 36 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-7 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 24 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Price F | 24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Rolison G | 22 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 14 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joel Armotrading C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amire Robinson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Myles Walker G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ethan Croley, Christopher Baudreau, Peyton White
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -10.5
1 → NEV
CloseNEV -11.5
1 pt toward NEV
Total
Open143.5
▲ 6
Close149.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
FRES +575 · NEV -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -10.5 · closed NEV -11.5 · moved 1 toward NEVmodel NEV -10.5
model NEV -10.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 6 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEV -11.5 | NEV -10.7 | FRES +0.8 | W FRES covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 146.3 | Under 3.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | FRES 67.8 · NEV 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEV -6.2 | PK |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | FRES 31.1 · NEV 37.3 | FRES 28 · NEV 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | |
| 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
FRES 1–9 NEVNEV leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NEV has won the last 8 meetings · FRES 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | NEV 66 @ FRES 65 | FRES +4.5 | FRES W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | FRES 71 vs NEV 86 | NEV -12.5 | NEV W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | FRES 69 @ NEV 94 | NEV -15.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NEV 77 @ FRES 66 | FRES +12.5 | FRES W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | FRES 66 @ NEV 74 | NEV -14.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
14-7
67% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @ | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 98-96 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UPST
L 66-67
−10.5
8
vs
LBSU
W 82-62
+13.5
12
vs
UCSD
L 73-78
−6.5
15
vs
UVU
W 75-74
+5.5
18
vs
SFA
W 80-78
+4.5
21
vs
NOLA
W 85-76
+2.5
26
vs
PEPP
W 76-53
+20.5
30
vs
CSUB
L 71-76
−15.5
6
@
ARK
L 58-82
−4.5
10
@
CSUN
L 87-89
+1.5
20
@
UNLV
L 72-84
−3.5
30
vs
USU
L 63-72
+5.5
3
vs
NEV
L 65-66
+3.5
6
@
SJSU
W 70-55
+13.5
10
@
SDSU
L 52-71
−4.5
13
vs
CSU
W 79-69
+13.5
17
vs
WYO
W 63-60
+6.5
21
@
UNM
L 74-83
+6.5
24
vs
GCU
L 57-68
−6.5
31
@
AF
W 79-62
+7.5
3
vs
UNLV
W 98-96
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
UPST
L 66-67
−31.5
8
vs
LBSU
W 82-62
+1.5
12
vs
UCSD
L 73-78
+2.5
15
vs
UVU
W 75-74
−7.5
18
vs
SFA
W 80-78
+11.5
21
vs
NOLA
W 85-76
+6.5
26
vs
PEPP
W 76-53
−21.5
30
vs
CSUB
L 71-76
−3.5
6
@
ARK
L 58-82
−21.5
10
@
CSUN
L 87-89
+14.5
20
@
UNLV
L 72-84
−3.5
30
vs
USU
L 63-72
−19.5
3
vs
NEV
L 65-66
−15.5
6
@
SJSU
W 70-55
−24.5
10
@
SDSU
L 52-71
−23.5
13
vs
CSU
W 79-69
+8.5
17
vs
WYO
W 63-60
−22.5
21
@
UNM
L 74-83
+5.5
24
vs
GCU
L 57-68
−20.5
31
@
AF
W 79-62
−0.5
3
vs
UNLV
W 98-96
+40.5
over 8under 13avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LT
W 77-50
+17.5
8
vs
PAC
W 78-77
−12.5
12
vs
SIU
W 86-81
−6.5
15
@
SCU
L 83-98
−8.5
18
vs
UCD
L 71-75
−16.5
22
vs
UCSB
W 77-64
+7.5
27
vs
WASH
L 66-83
−13.5
28
vs
SF
W 81-65
+21.5
2
vs
UCSD
W 76-70
+0.5
7
@
WSU
W 78-64
+16.5
13
vs
DUQ
W 78-75
−2.5
20
vs
BOIS
W 81-66
+18.5
30
@
CSU
W 75-62
+14.5
3
@
FRES
W 66-65
−3.5
6
vs
SDSU
L 68-73
−6.5
10
vs
WYO
W 92-83
+5.5
14
@
USU
L 62-71
+4.5
17
@
AF
W 81-66
+0.5
20
vs
SJSU
W 87-54
+16.5
24
@
UNM
L 73-80
+1.5
27
vs
GCU
W 66-60
+2.5
30
vs
UNLV
W 89-76
+5.5
3
@
BOIS
L 87-91
+2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LT
W 77-50
−9.5
8
vs
PAC
W 78-77
+15.5
12
vs
SIU
W 86-81
+14.5
15
@
SCU
L 83-98
+36.5
18
vs
UCD
L 71-75
+2.5
22
vs
UCSB
W 77-64
−6.5
27
vs
WASH
L 66-83
+3.5
28
vs
SF
W 81-65
+3.5
2
vs
UCSD
W 76-70
−3.5
7
@
WSU
W 78-64
−3.5
13
vs
DUQ
W 78-75
+1.5
20
vs
BOIS
W 81-66
+5.5
30
@
CSU
W 75-62
−2.5
3
@
FRES
W 66-65
−15.5
6
vs
SDSU
L 68-73
−0.5
10
vs
WYO
W 92-83
+31.5
14
@
USU
L 62-71
−14.5
17
@
AF
W 81-66
+12.5
20
vs
SJSU
W 87-54
+3.5
24
@
UNM
L 73-80
+2.5
27
vs
GCU
W 66-60
−17.5
30
vs
UNLV
W 89-76
+17.5
3
@
BOIS
L 87-91
+36.5
over 14under 9avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
10-11 overall · 5-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNLV98–96
- W@ Air Force79–62
- Lvs Grand Canyon57–68
- L@ New Mexico74–83
- Wvs Wyoming63–60
4 days since their last game.
Nevada
16-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St87–91
- Wvs UNLV89–76
- Wvs Grand Canyon66–60
- L@ New Mexico73–80
- Wvs San José St87–54
4 days since their last game.