UD Arena · at Dayton · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -7.5✓ SBU covered by 5.5
DAY -7.5✓ SBU covered by 5.5Closing total144.5Under by 2.5
 SBU | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | Record | 14-8 |
| 7-14 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 15-6 | O/U | 9-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SBU 70–78 DAY · ✓ DAY (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SBU | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| DAY | 41 | 31 | 72 |
1st half: SBU 30, DAY 41 (DAY by 11). The model had DAY by 5.0 and a total of 69.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SBU | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 19-46 41% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 28-33 85% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasonte Bowen G | 39 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Frank Mitchell F | 38 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Egbuniwe F | 37 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Darryl Simmons II G | 37 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-17 | 3-11 |
| Cayden Charles G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joe Grahovac F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Osasuyi F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Achille Lonati G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jack DeRose, Xander Wedlow, Brayden Jackson, Ilia Ermakov, John Ikpotokin, Broek Ostrom, Amar'e Marshall
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 35 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Keonte Jones G | 31 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Jacob Conner F | 26 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 20 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Heard G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Damon Friery, Jaiun Simon, Adam Njie, Jaron McKie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAY -7.5
ModelDAY -8.6
Model edgeDAY +1.1
L SBU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
L Under
Projected score
SBU 69.7 · DAY 78.3
SBU 70 · DAY 72
Win probability
DAY 77%
1st half
Spread
DAY -5.0
DAY -11.0
Total
69.3
71 points
Projected score
SBU 32.1 · DAY 37.1
SBU 30 · DAY 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -8.5
1 → SBU
CloseDAY -7.5
1 pt toward SBU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SBU +285 · DAY -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -8.5 · closed DAY -7.5 · moved 1 toward SBUmodel DAY -8.5
model DAY -8.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SBU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| DAY | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SBU 2–2 DAYSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · SBU 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | DAY 53 @ SBU 75 | SBU +2.5 | SBU W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | SBU 71 @ DAY 76 | DAY -8 | SBU W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | DAY 59 @ SBU 68 | SBU +5.5 | SBU W |
| Jan 18, 2021-22 | SBU 50 @ DAY 68 | DAY +1 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Bonaventure
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
7-14
33% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-6
71% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRAD | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CAN | W 89-70 | -21.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIE | W 75-66 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs YSU | W 84-80 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs RMU | W 75-61 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNC | L 70-85 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs ECU | W 67-58 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUF | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs COLG | W 85-77 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs OHIO | L 83-88 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs LEM | W 92-81 | -21.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 31 | @ VCU | L 82-89 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vs RICH | L 80-89 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs FOR | L 77-81 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ JOES | L 64-68 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @ LAS | L 74-78 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs LUC | W 84-70 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 23 | vs SLU | L 62-97 | +8.5 | L −26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | @ DUQ | W 87-79 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 31 | vs GMU | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
+4.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
−2.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
−0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
−5.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
+2.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
−4.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−1.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
+6.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+2.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
−1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
−11.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
−10.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+2.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
−15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
−12.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−5.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
−9.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+3.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−26.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+11.5
31
vsGMU
GMUL 73-77
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 14avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
−7.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
+22.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
+0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
+17.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
−10.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
+2.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−19.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
−11.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+1.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
+19.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
+20.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
+21.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+13.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
+15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
+15.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−15.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
+10.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+6.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−0.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+15.5
31
vsGMU
GMUL 73-77
+7.5
over 15under 6avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsCAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vsFOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vs URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
over 9under 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Bonaventure
12-9 overall · 2-7 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs George Mason73–77
- W@ Duquesne87–79
- Lvs Saint Louis62–97
- Wvs Loyola Chicago84–70
- L@ La Salle74–78
3 days since their last game.
Dayton
14-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Louis71–102
- Lvs Rhode Island76–81
- L@ Saint Joseph's74–81
- L@ La Salle64–67
- Wvs Loyola Chicago78–51
4 days since their last game.