EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -6.5✓ GMU covered by 1.5
GMU -6.5✓ GMU covered by 1.5Closing total134.5Under by 22.5
 DAV | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 17-2 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAV 65–73 GMU · ✓ GMU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAV | 34 | 18 | 52 |
| GMU | 28 | 32 | 60 |
1st half: DAV 34, GMU 28 (DAV by 6). The model had GMU by 4.9 and a total of 64.8 (actual 62).
Team stats
| DAV | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-55 36% | Field goals | 21-47 45% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Scovens F | 31 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Devin Brown G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Sam Brown G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roberts Blums G | 29 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-9 |
| Nick Coval G | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Sean Logan F | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Adam G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| RJ Greer G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Manie Joses F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: John Nowland, Phillip Kavu, Brock Matheny, Joe Hurlburt
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 38 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Kory Mincy G | 38 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Nick Ellington F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Masai Troutman G | 20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Malik Presley G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stas Sivka F | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Fatt Hill G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 16 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Isaiah Skinn, Devin Booker, Ryan-Preston Mendy, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor, Riley Allenspach
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -6.5
ModelGMU -8.4
Model edgeGMU +1.9
W GMU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model138.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
DAV 64.9 · GMU 73.3
DAV 52 · GMU 60
Win probability
GMU 77%
1st half
Spread
GMU -4.9
DAV -6.0
Total
64.8
62 points
Projected score
DAV 29.9 · GMU 34.8
DAV 34 · GMU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -6.5
no move
CloseGMU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
▼ 1
Close134.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
DAV +240 · GMU -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -6.5 · unchangedmodel GMU -8.5
model GMU -8.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 downmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DAV 1–4 GMUGMU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 4 meetings · DAV 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | GMU 64 @ DAV 60 | DAV +1.5 | GMU W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | DAV 57 @ GMU 69 | GMU -6.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | GMU 57 @ DAV 55 | DAV -0.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | DAV 65 @ GMU 67 | GMU -4.5 | DAV W |
| Mar 2, 2021-22 | GMU 62 @ DAV 73 | DAV -7 | DAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Davidson
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MERC | W 80-47 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 18 | vs TEM | L 63-68 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | @ KU | L 61-90 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs DUQ | L 83-89 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @ JOES | W 62-56 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | @ LUC | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs URI | L 45-70 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 14 | @ GW | W 84-79 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 21 | vs FOR | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vs VCU | L 69-75 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
+21.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
−14.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
−8.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
+4.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+13.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−27.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+14.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
+0.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
−5.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
+11.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
+21.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
−21.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+6.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−19.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+12.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
−4.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−4.5
over 9under 9avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
19 games played
Straight up
17-2
89% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vsURI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vsVCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vsGW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
over 10under 9avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Davidson
11-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs VCU69–75
- Wvs Fordham68–63
- W@ G Washington84–79
- Lvs Rhode Island45–70
- W@ Loyola Chicago79–64
4 days since their last game.
George Mason
17-2 overall · 6-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rhode Island65–74
- Wvs G Washington69–64
- W@ Loyola Chicago82–74
- Wvs VCU86–80
- W@ Fordham67–58
4 days since their last game.