Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis · Conference game
Closing line
SLU -10.5✓ GW covered by 7.5
SLU -10.5✓ GW covered by 7.5Closing total167.5Under by 12.5
 GW | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 18-1 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 12-7 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 79–86 SLU · ✓ SLU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 43 | 33 | 76 |
| SLU | 33 | 46 | 79 |
1st half: GW 43, SLU 33 (GW by 10). The model had SLU by 4.3 and a total of 77.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| GW | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-65 42% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 11-22 50% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Autry G | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Christian Jones G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Rafael Castro F | 33 | 12 | 18 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Luke Hunger F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mohamed Binzagr, Jalen Rougier-Roane, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones G | 35 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2-12 | 1-5 |
| Trey Green G | 31 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 6-10 |
| Robbie Avila C | 31 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Amari McCottry G | 23 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Dion Brown G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Kellen Thames G | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Paul Otieno F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Badara Diakite, Jax Kerr, Cam Hutson, Luke Laczkowski, Isaac Holmes, Jaden Schertz, Kalu Anya, Dylan Warlick, Brady Dunlap
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -10.5
ModelSLU -7.4
Model edgeGW +3.1
W GW covered
Total
Market167.5
Model165.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
W Under
Projected score
GW 78.9 · SLU 86.2
GW 76 · SLU 79
Win probability
SLU 74%
1st half
Spread
SLU -4.3
GW -10.0
Total
77.3
76 points
Projected score
GW 36.5 · SLU 40.8
GW 43 · SLU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -11.5
1 → GW
CloseSLU -10.5
1 pt toward GW
Total
Open168.5
▼ 1
Close167.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
GW +490 · SLU -675
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -11.5 · closed SLU -10.5 · moved 1 toward GWmodel SLU -7.5
model SLU -7.5
Opened 168.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 1 downmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| SLU | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GW 1–3 SLUSLU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · GW 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SLU 61 @ GW 67 | GW -0.5 | GW W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | GW 91 @ SLU 96 | SLU -6.5 | GW W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | SLU 81 @ GW 74 | GW +2.5 | SLU W |
| Jan 26, 2021-22 | GW 67 @ SLU 80 | SLU -17.5 | GW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs ODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs W&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @ RICH | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAS | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ DAY | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs LUC | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs DAV | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ GMU | L 64-69 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | vsRICH | W 85-69 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+11.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
+5.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−4.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+20.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
−14.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−3.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+21.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
−18.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−3.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+12.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
+12.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−20.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
−5.5
over 10under 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
19 games played
Straight up
18-1
95% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs BCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vs JOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs FOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vsRICH | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @ DUQ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ SBU | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
+10.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−4.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
+26.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
−11.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−7.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
−0.5
over 10under 9avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
12-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Richmond85–69
- L@ George Mason64–69
- Lvs Davidson79–84
- Wvs Loyola Chicago101–66
- L@ Dayton72–79
3 days since their last game.
Saint Louis
18-1 overall · 7-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ St Bonaventure97–62
- W@ Duquesne81–77
- Wvs Richmond88–63
- Wvs Fordham78–56
- W@ La Salle84–72
4 days since their last game.