Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -14.5✓ ASU covered by 1.5
ARIZ -14.5✓ ASU covered by 1.5Closing total163.5Under by 2.5
| ARIZ | This season | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-0 | Record | 11-10 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 13-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 89–74 ASU · ✓ ARIZ (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 38 | 49 | 87 |
| ASU | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: ARIZ 38, ASU 38 (tied). The model had ARIZ by 9.2 and a total of 76.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| ARIZ | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-63 51% | Field goals | 27-65 42% |
| 4-11 36% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 12-20 60% |
| 47 16 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries G | 34 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Koa Peat F | 33 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 9-16 | 2-2 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Addison Arnold G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Trouet F | 32 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Maurice Odum G | 29 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Massamba Diop C | 29 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Ford G | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dame Salane, Vijay Wallace, Jovan Icitovic, Trevor Best, Quentin McCoy, Kash Polk, Marcus Adams Jr., Adante' Holiman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -14.5
ModelARIZ -15.3
Model edgeARIZ +0.8
L ASU covered
Total
Market163.5
Model163.5
Model edge—
Under
Projected score
ARIZ 89.4 · ASU 74.1
ARIZ 87 · ASU 74
Win probability
ARIZ 91%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -9.2
tied
Total
76.5
76 points
Projected score
ARIZ 42.9 · ASU 33.6
ARIZ 38 · ASU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -16.5
2 → ASU
CloseARIZ -14.5
2 pts toward ASU
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ -1600 · ASU +900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -16.5 · closed ARIZ -14.5 · moved 2 toward ASUmodel ARIZ -15.5
model ARIZ -15.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 163.5 matches the line
model 163.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| ASU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
ARIZ 9–1 ASUARIZ leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ has won the last 6 meetings · ARIZ 5-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | ASU 82 @ ARIZ 89 | ARIZ -21.5 | ASU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | ASU 100 @ ARIZ 113 | ARIZ -18.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ARIZ 81 @ ASU 72 | ASU +6.5 | ARIZ W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ARIZ 85 @ ASU 67 | ASU +11.5 | ARIZ W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ASU 60 @ ARIZ 105 | ARIZ -18.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
21 games played
Straight up
21-0
100% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vsASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs CIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs WVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
over 12under 9avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona St
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vsUTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vsNAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vsKSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @ HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vsWVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vsCIN | W 82-68 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @UCF | L 76-79 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+17.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+3.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
−6.5
over 13under 8avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
21-0 overall · 8-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ BYU86–83
- Wvs West Virginia88–53
- Wvs Cincinnati77–51
- W@ UCF84–77
- Wvs Arizona St89–82
5 days since their last game.
Arizona St
11-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCF76–79
- Wvs Cincinnati82–68
- Lvs West Virginia63–75
- L@ Houston73–103
- L@ Arizona82–89
4 days since their last game.