Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -14.5✓ ISU covered by 15.5
ISU -14.5✓ ISU covered by 15.5Closing total156.5Under by 12.5
 UCF | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-3 | Record | 16-2 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCF 73–85 ISU · ✓ ISU (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| ISU | 44 | 43 | 87 |
1st half: UCF 26, ISU 44 (ISU by 18). The model had ISU by 7.2 and a total of 73.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UCF | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 12-21 57% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 22 |
| 1 | Steals | 13 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Burks F | 33 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Riley Kugel G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-15 | 3-8 |
| Themus Fulks G | 30 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| John Bol C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Chris Johnson G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kris Parker G | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zachary Johnson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jamichael Stillwell, Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Tanner Jones
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 34 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 33 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Killyan Toure G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 19 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 18 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Rise G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dominick Nelson, Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -13.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -14.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCF +800 · ISU -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -13.5 · closed ISU -14.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -12.5
model ISU -12.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -14.5 | ISU -12.3 | UCF +2.2 | L ISU covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 157.8 | Over 1.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCF 72.8 · ISU 85 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -7.2 | ISU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 73.9 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | UCF 33.4 · ISU 40.5 | UCF 26 · ISU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCF 0–3 ISUISU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 3 meetings · UCF 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | ISU 77 @ UCF 65 | UCF +7.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | UCF 83 @ ISU 108 | ISU -15.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | ISU 60 @ UCF 52 | UCF +3.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCF
17 games played
Straight up
14-3
82% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
over 6under 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
18 games played
Straight up
16-2
89% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs WVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsOKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
over 9under 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCF
14-3 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona77–84
- W@ Kansas St82–73
- Wvs Cincinnati73–72
- L@ Oklahoma St76–87
- Wvs Kansas81–75
3 days since their last game.
Iowa State
16-2 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cincinnati70–79
- L@ Kansas63–84
- Wvs Oklahoma St83–71
- W@ Baylor70–60
- Wvs West Virginia80–59
3 days since their last game.